"The June spending data indicate household spending growth has passed its peak," ASB Bank rural economist Nathan Penny said in a note.
"We expect it will slow further from here as confidence wanes, particularly in the dairy regions, but also on Greek and Chinese concerns. That said, spending is slowing from high to just average."
Penny said the data reaffirms ASB's expectation for another 75 basis points of cuts to the official cash rate this year, which would fully reverse the central bank's tightening in policy last year when it raised interest rates by a percentage point.
The data today showed spending on apparel in June dropped 1.1 per cent from May, its fourth consecutive monthly decline, while durable spending slid 0.2 per cent.
Meanwhile, consumables spending increased 0.5 per cent while hospitality spending gained 0.3 per cent.
Total retail spending, which includes automotive and fuel spending, rose 0.5 per cent from May for an annual gain of 5 per cent.
There were 117 million transactions across all industries in June, with an average value of $50. The total amount spent across all transactions was $5.9 billion.
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