NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather forecasts

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
    • The Great NZ Road Trip
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
    • Cooking the Books
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Companies / Banking and finance

Challenging year ahead for banks

Tamsyn Parker
By Tamsyn Parker
Business Editor·NZ Herald·
8 Jan, 2017 04:00 AM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

John Kensington, KPMG head of financial services. Photo / File

John Kensington, KPMG head of financial services. Photo / File

New Zealand's banks are expected to remain in a strong position this year but will face tougher funding challenges and ongoing pressure from technology changes.

Banks have made record profits in recent years as the housing market has soared pushing up house price and loan amounts.

While the housing market might be slowing in Auckland John Kensington, head of financial services at KPMG, believes banks will continue to perform strongly.

"I think what we will see, and the banks have proven it over the last five years, they are inherently very strong, very well run and able to adapt to change."

While they might not continue to break records for profits Kensington doubts any will post losses because bank balance sheets remain big.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"But what they will have is some challenges in some areas."

Kensington says the banks have enjoyed the ability to get cheap deposit funds locally and an easy market to raise money off-shore.

But with the US Federal Reserve rate heading upwards funding costs could also rise.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"And there are minor concerns about the level of borrowing done off-shore.
The credit rating agencies will look at that."

In the middle of last year banks hit a point where they were lending out more than what they were getting in in deposits - a situation that affects their core funding ratios.

That situation drove more competition for local deposits forcing the banks to increase interest rates despite cuts to New Zealand's official cash rate.

The banks have also signalled that mortgage rates are likely to increase this year with some already bumping them up at the end of last year.

Kensington says the banks face a benign situation from the New Zealand economy which is doing pretty well.

But a global issue could put pressure on them.

"There is really nothing on the horizon in New Zealand that is going to give rise to problems.

"It's really going to be a global issue - like Trump or the Asian slow-down and any trickle-down affects.

"Brexit or Trump could cause a hiccup to trade. The thing that will upset the economy will be something external."

Kensington said turning the tap off immigration would be a big mistake for New Zealand.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"People are saying it has got to stop because its forcing house prices to rise.

"But it is also bringing a large amount of money into the country. We need the deposits and skills. If we turn that tap off will stop the money and the investment.

Standard and Poor's banking analysts Nico de Lange and Andrew Mayes say it should be a steady as she goes kind of year for the banks but there are some risks they will be watching closely.

De Lange said New Zealand overall had a low-risk banking system and the profitability of New Zealand's banks compared well with peers internationally.

"They have a high net interest income and low cost base. That is all good news."

But strong credit growth driven by the property market boom has analysts worried and de Lange says it's an area that it needs to continue monitoring.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"Of course we are not the only ones worried about this."

The Reserve Bank has already stepped in using its macroprudential tools to slow the market.

"To an extent it has been successful but it has not been able to stem the growth in total."

The rating agency is also closely watching whether the government allows the Reserve Bank to use a debt to income restriction tool.

De Lange said credit growth had been fairly strong but looked like it was now dampening down.

Mayes what that means for the banks is that he expects lending to come off a bit.

Banks have been under margin pressure with funding costs rising as they have had to borrow more on the international market.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Mayes says he expects some of those margins to be recovered this year as the banks re-price loans.

"We expect lending growth to come off a bit."

Mayes is predicting reasonably flat profits for the banks in 2017. He expects nothing but upward pressure on funding costs.

De Lange said the credit loss rate had been really low in recent years with not a lot of impairments.

But he expects it to creep up this year.

While dairy was beginning to recover there was likely to be a lag effect from those who had not done as well to get through the last couple of years.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"Looking forward there is a bit of a lag effect if one looks at dairy."

But dairy only made up 7 per cent of the portfolios across the main four banks versus residential and commercial property which made up two-thirds of loans.

"Commercial property is still quite good. Significant infrastructure is needed for Auckland."

"We just think that it is probably as good as it is going to get."

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Banking and finance

Premium
Business|companies

ANZ NZ's first-half profit edges up to $1.16 billion

07 May 11:39 PM
Premium
Banking and finance

NZ banks face repaying $9.2b in cheap Covid loans in coming months

07 May 09:00 PM
Banking and finance

BNZ preserves margins on flat half-year

07 May 12:26 AM

One tiny baby’s fight to survive

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Banking and finance

Premium
ANZ NZ's first-half profit edges up to $1.16 billion

ANZ NZ's first-half profit edges up to $1.16 billion

07 May 11:39 PM

Chief executive Antonia Watson says the flat result reflects the state of the economy.

Premium
NZ banks face repaying $9.2b in cheap Covid loans in coming months

NZ banks face repaying $9.2b in cheap Covid loans in coming months

07 May 09:00 PM
BNZ preserves margins on flat half-year

BNZ preserves margins on flat half-year

07 May 12:26 AM
Premium
Govt warned it'll be lumped with bigger bill than insurers if disaster strikes

Govt warned it'll be lumped with bigger bill than insurers if disaster strikes

06 May 04:16 AM
Connected workers are safer workers 
sponsored

Connected workers are safer workers 

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP