The international dairy trade has started 2015 on a positive note with this morning's GlobalDairyTrade price index gaining 3.6 per cent since the last auction in mid-December.
The average winning price was US$2709 a tonne, up from US$2609 a tonne at the last auction, and prices were up acrossthe board.
Whole milk powder prices - the most important product for New Zealand dairy producers and the key determinant of Fonterra's farmgate milk price - rose by a modest 1.6 per cent to US$2307 a tonne while other product groups put on bigger gains.
Last month, Fonterra cut its farmgate milk price forecast for the current season to $4.70 per kg of milk solids - down from previous forecast of $5.30 a kg - due to sharply lower market prices.
Combined with the previously announced estimated dividend range of 25-35 cents per share, Fonterra's cash payout is forecast at $4.95 to $5.05 a kg for 2014/15.
Fonterra's thinking centres on wholemilk prices recovering to their long-run average of around US$3500 a tonne.
Falling oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty in Russia and Ukraine, and subdued demand from China have all contributed to sharply weaker prices since the start of last year.