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Bernard Hickey
Columnist

Bernard is an economics columnist for the NZ Herald

We are your advocate, Aotearoa. Uncovering stories that matter, asking hard-hitting questions of those in power, live-blogging sport events, monitoring the highs and lows of the NZX and providing Premium expert opinion and analysis. Bringing you distinctive, quality journalism and breaking news from across New Zealand and around the world. With specialists working together to create indepth reads, engaging video, and unmissable podcasts.

Check out Bernard’s latest content
Bernard Hickey: The year of big numbers
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: The year of big numbers

17 Dec 04:00 PM
Hickey: Here's what Bill should do now
Opinion

Hickey: Here's what Bill should do now

10 Dec 04:00 PM

COMMENT: Leadership change is always the best time to reassess what any country or government should focus on.

Bernard Hickey: Show us the money, John
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Show us the money, John

03 Dec 04:00 PM

Treasury's forecasts are worthy of respect. Key may well be right that the Government can afford it all for the next few years.

Bernard Hickey: Global economy slip sliding away
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Global economy slip sliding away

26 Nov 04:00 PM

COMMENT: Like any building with concrete cancer, trust in a big idea can seem very solid right up until the moment of collapse.

Bernard Hickey: Get ready for Trump thump
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Get ready for Trump thump

19 Nov 04:00 PM

COMMENT: As much as we'd like his wall to block off the Trump-effect from the rest of the world, no one is immune in the still globalised world.

Bernard Hickey: 5 ways Trump could hurt us
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: 5 ways Trump could hurt us

12 Nov 04:00 PM

COMMENT: If Trump carries out his trade and defence threats, NZ would face the risk of slower global economic growth, higher interest rates and fewer capital flows.

Bernard Hickey: Work rate drives wages
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Work rate drives wages

05 Nov 04:00 PM

COMMENT: This week's jobs figures look fantastic, but they disguise flat real GDP per hour worked and an essentially stagnant economy.

Hickey: Auckland's bill will be a doozy
Opinion

Hickey: Auckland's bill will be a doozy

22 Oct 04:00 PM

COMMENT: A look at this week's new population projections should give Phil Goff and his council a sobering reminder of the massive task ahead of them.

Bernard Hickey: Shopping our way into debt
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Shopping our way into debt

16 Oct 02:43 AM

COMMENT: Two apparently unrelated things happened in the first week of October that say so much about New Zealand these days.

Hickey: We need truckies not cleaners
Opinion

Hickey: We need truckies not cleaners

08 Oct 04:00 PM

COMMENT: Three news items this week highlighted some of the risks and opportunities posed by New Zealand's current migration settings.

Hickey: Age and wage disparity so unfair
Opinion

Hickey: Age and wage disparity so unfair

24 Sep 04:00 PM

COMMENT: New Zealand has changed an awful lot over the past 30 years. Mostly for the good, but not for everyone.

Hickey: Wrinkles to owning apartments
Opinion

Hickey: Wrinkles to owning apartments

18 Sep 04:21 AM

COMMENT: If everything goes according to the Unitary and Govt plans, Auckland is about to embark on an apartment building spree like it has never seen.

Bernard Hickey: Prepare for party to end
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Prepare for party to end

10 Sep 05:00 PM

COMMENT: It's hard to know how to react to the news Auckland's average house value rose over $1 million in August.

Hickey: Build houses and they will stay
Opinion

Hickey: Build houses and they will stay

04 Sep 03:24 AM

COMMENT: John Key and Nick Smith have in recent weeks taken to trumpeting Auckland's current building boom as the biggest in New Zealand history.

Hickey: Land is for living, not savings
Opinion

Hickey: Land is for living, not savings

27 Aug 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Which politicians will be brave and honest enough to propose taxes to stop land banking?

Bernard Hickey: Too many visas, not enough pay
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Too many visas, not enough pay

21 Aug 07:11 AM

COMMENT: Allowing a flood of low-skilled migrants is frustrating that market mechanism with the short-term aim of keeping wages low for employers.

Hickey: Hey banking boss, you had one job
Opinion

Hickey: Hey banking boss, you had one job

13 Aug 05:00 PM

COMMENT: The Reserve Bank may be missing its target, but we shouldn't give up so easily just because it is hard to hit.

Hickey: Banks should refuse to cut rates
Opinion

Hickey: Banks should refuse to cut rates

06 Aug 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Normally the banks would just pass on the Cash Rate cut to mortgage borrowers and term-deposit savers, but this time is likely to be different.

Shooting for the housing moon
Opinion

Shooting for the housing moon

30 Jul 05:00 PM

Nasa's budget had tripled in one year to US$5.4 billion ($7.6b) and the space programme went on to cost US$34b.

Housing stakes still sky-high
Opinion

Housing stakes still sky-high

23 Jul 05:00 PM

The Government has wrapped its entire supply-led strategy for dealing with Auckland's housing crisis/challenge into the Auckland Unitary Plan.

Hickey: Imagine a massive price drop
Opinion

Hickey: Imagine a massive price drop

16 Jul 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Why are politicians of all colours so afraid? And whose interests are they protecting when they say such falls are "crazy"?

Hickey: The great housing down-trou
Opinion

Hickey: The great housing down-trou

09 Jul 05:00 PM

COMMENT: John Key is more worried about the short-term fates of leveraged-up speculators and developers than the long-term fate of Generation Rent.

Bernard Hickey: The people are revolting
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: The people are revolting

02 Jul 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Imagine how productive and wealthy our economies would be with a President Trump and a Prime Minister Peters.

Time to bring it on, National
Opinion

Time to bring it on, National

25 Jun 05:00 PM

COMMENT: The Government's actions have been begrudging, delayed and lacking conviction.

How to pop a housing bubble
Opinion

How to pop a housing bubble

18 Jun 05:00 PM

COMMENT: The figures confirmed the Auckland housing market is running hot through the winter and the heat from that "halo" is spreading around the country.

We need doctors, not bar staff
Opinion

We need doctors, not bar staff

11 Jun 05:00 PM

COMMENT: In all the hullaballoo this week about New Zealand's record high migration, a strange fact has emerged.

City of cranes has a boom that's a bust
Opinion

City of cranes has a boom that's a bust

04 Jun 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Auckland feels like a boom town. Its shortage of houses, hotels, roads, schoolrooms and tradies dominates the conversations.

Budget fails struggling Auckland
Opinion

Budget fails struggling Auckland

28 May 05:00 PM

Auckland Council made it perfectly clear last week it could not pay for the $17b of roading, water and other infrastructure needed to build all the extra houses.

Bernard Hickey: Let them build, using bonds
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Let them build, using bonds

21 May 05:00 PM

COMMENT: If council issued infrastructure bonds and tied them to rates targeted to residents of developments it could kill a couple of birds with one stone.

Bernard Hickey: Want to own a house in Auckland? Circle these dates
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Want to own a house in Auckland? Circle these dates

14 May 05:00 PM

Everyone who cares about the future of the economy, interest rates and house prices needs to circle two dates in their calendars this year.

Bernard Hickey: Why aren't Kiwis getting jobs?
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Why aren't Kiwis getting jobs?

07 May 05:00 PM

COMMENT: A generation seems not to have the work skills, aptitude and life skills to work for the wages employers are able to pay, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Land tax is long overdue
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Land tax is long overdue

30 Apr 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Now that the Prime Minister has let the land tax genie out of the bottle we should all have a good close look to see which version suits us best.

Bernard Hickey: Between a rock and a hard place
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Between a rock and a hard place

23 Apr 05:00 PM

COMMENT: The Reserve Bank is back in a familiar place - between those two rocks of very low CPI inflation and very high house price inflation.

Bernard Hickey: Time for action on high house prices
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Time for action on high house prices

16 Apr 05:00 PM

COMMENT: It's easy to assess the value of an asset in a liquid and rising market, but the future liabilities are not so easy to see.

Bernard Hickey: How safe is your money?
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: How safe is your money?

09 Apr 05:00 PM

Did you know your money in a bank term deposit is not guaranteed by the Government?

Bernard Hickey: How Kiwis get rich
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: How Kiwis get rich

02 Apr 05:00 PM

COMMENT: How do New Zealanders get richer? It seems an obvious question, but it's one we seem to be ignoring, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Key fickle on minimum wages
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Key fickle on minimum wages

26 Mar 04:00 PM

COMMENT: The idea of a Guaranteed Minimum Income deserves a lot more thought and debate than the dismissal it got from the Prime Minister.

Bernard Hickey: Banks hedge bets on dairy drop
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Banks hedge bets on dairy drop

19 Mar 04:00 PM

COMMENT: The irony is banks have helped Reserve Bank avoid the feared side effect of the rate cut of adding more fuel on Auckland property price fires.

Bernard Hickey: Dairy industry in race to ruin
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Dairy industry in race to ruin

12 Mar 04:00 PM

COMMENT: How about you borrow $30 billion to invest in something that produces a commodity that swings in price by more than 50% over a 2 year cycle?

Bernard Hickey: Want some free money?
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Want some free money?

05 Mar 04:00 PM

Just imagine that one day the Reserve Bank deposited $1000 in your account, and that of every other citizen in New Zealand, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Council caves before home owners
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Council caves before home owners

27 Feb 04:00 PM

Auckland Council is reverting to its Unitary Plan proposal, which will provide for just over 80,000 new homes by 2040, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Danger lurks in falling prices
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Danger lurks in falling prices

20 Feb 04:00 PM

Central banks in the Euro zone - Sweden, Japan, Denmark and Switzerland - now have negative interest rates on the money deposited with them by banks.

Bernard Hickey: How to thrash a dead horse
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: How to thrash a dead horse

13 Feb 04:00 PM

Performance reviews are never fun and they're often more complicated than they should be, writes Bernard Hickey.

Short, sharp lesson due on prices
Opinion

Short, sharp lesson due on prices

30 Jan 04:00 PM

Making a movie about collateralised debt obligations and credit default swaps that is both compelling and accurate is quite some achievement.

Bernard Hickey: Tech revolution threatens millions of jobs
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Tech revolution threatens millions of jobs

23 Jan 08:28 PM
Bernard Hickey: The big booms and busts of 2015
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: The big booms and busts of 2015

19 Dec 08:00 PM

Bernard Hickey: This has been a big year for the NZ economy, ranging from an extended slump for the dairy payout to a big boom for tourism and Auckland house prices.

Bernard Hickey: Failure to criminalise 'abusive behaviour' costs productivity
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Failure to criminalise 'abusive behaviour' costs productivity

12 Dec 09:08 PM

This week's move to remove criminal sanctions for cartel behaviour from a bill already before Parliament should have been bigger news, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Poverty trap awaits retiring tenants
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Poverty trap awaits retiring tenants

05 Dec 04:00 PM

This week's Salvation Army report into housing baby-boomers in retirement exposed the deepest fault-line in NZ society and its economy - home ownership.

Bernard Hickey: Longer runway not plane sailing
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Longer runway not plane sailing

28 Nov 08:14 PM
Bernard Hickey: In hole for millions
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: In hole for millions

21 Nov 04:00 PM

Just imagine if someone told you the ratepayers of Auckland and the taxpayers of New Zealand were giving billions of dollars to the wealthiest property owners.

Bernard Hickey: The loan stats that should frighten you
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: The loan stats that should frighten you

14 Nov 07:18 PM

In 1992 banks and borrowers were as risk-averse, writes Bernard Hickey. Fast forward to 2015 and the mathematics are on another planet.

Bernard Hickey: Deal closes gap on map
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Deal closes gap on map

07 Nov 04:00 PM
Bernard Hickey: Banking on a fair referee and good judgment calls
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Banking on a fair referee and good judgment calls

31 Oct 04:00 PM

Wheeler has blamed the failure of inflation to rise back into the forecast range of 1-3 per cent on the slump in dairy and oil prices and the surprise rise in the New Zealand dollar.

Bernard Hickey: More faith in market than in Govt
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: More faith in market than in Govt

24 Oct 04:00 PM

The Productivity Commission report this week into land use for housing used a surprising word to describe what was needed to solve Auckland's housing crisis: credibility.

The dragon keeps raging
Opinion

The dragon keeps raging

17 Oct 04:00 PM

House-price inflation averaged more than 7 per cent a year in Auckland for the past decade and average wage growth has averaged just over 2 per cent.

Bernard Hickey: We lost some, but gained more
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: We lost some, but gained more

10 Oct 04:00 PM

The TPP was much more about winning a few tariff reductions, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: We need to argue about money
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: We need to argue about money

03 Oct 08:01 PM
Bernard Hickey: Beware the 2029 backlash
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Beware the 2029 backlash

19 Sep 05:00 PM

Imagine what an election debate in 2029 might look like.

Bernard Hickey: The lure of the 'double Grammar zone'
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: The lure of the 'double Grammar zone'

12 Sep 05:00 PM

The words "double Grammar zone" plastered across a real estate billboard is enough to make any red-blooded agent salivate, writes Bernard Hickey.

God defend the open home
Opinion

God defend the open home

05 Sep 05:00 PM

If Kiwis had been honest about finding a flag that reflected the national character, it would have been an open-home flag, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Don't get too comfy
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Don't get too comfy

29 Aug 05:00 PM

Bernard Hickey writes: Just how long will governments and central banks be able to use public balance sheets to turn the tides of markets?

Bernard Hickey: Why do Aucklanders fear council debt?
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Why do Aucklanders fear council debt?

22 Aug 05:00 PM

If you could take out a mortgage fixed for 12 years at 4.01 per cent to invest in an asset that lasts decades, would you?

Bernard Hickey: Brace for a currency war
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Brace for a currency war

15 Aug 05:00 PM

The fall in the New Zealand dollar to US65c from US85c a year ago has been a blessing and a curse, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Baby boomers spawn savings glut
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Baby boomers spawn savings glut

08 Aug 05:00 PM

The 'global savings glut theory' has been around since 2005 when US central banker Ben Bernanke started talking about it, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Let's talk migration
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Let's talk migration

01 Aug 05:00 PM

Net migration is increasing our population by more than 1 per cent a year and that's not counting natural population growth, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Hope in special treatment for zombies
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Hope in special treatment for zombies

25 Jul 05:00 PM

It's encouraging to see the govt is entertaining the idea for "Special Economic Zones" in an attempt to deal with our so-called zombie towns, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Labour lit fuse on avoidable storm
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Labour lit fuse on avoidable storm

18 Jul 05:00 PM

Labour lit the fuse on a jury-rigged device and threw it into a shopping mall of opinions, with sadly predictable results, writes Bernard Hickey. But it needn't have been this way.

Bernard Hickey: Teen mums give best returns
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Teen mums give best returns

11 Jul 05:00 PM

Imagine if you could invest $14.1 million up front and get a return over the next 50 years of $3.3 billion. Would you do it?

Bernard Hickey: Rash spending a costly risk
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Rash spending a costly risk

04 Jul 05:00 PM

What should be done with KiwiSaver pots once they're free to be dipped into at 65? This issue is rapidly creeping up on KiwiSavers and the Govt, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Use overseas dosh for Auckland
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Use overseas dosh for Auckland

27 Jun 05:00 PM

This week's news from Auckland's housing market must have terrified first-home buyers and delighted property owners.

Bernard Hickey: Auckland property an ongoing issue
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Auckland property an ongoing issue

20 Jun 05:00 PM

This week's Productivity Commission report on housing reveals how Auckland's land prices have spiralled over the past decade and the toll that is taking on NZ's economy, writes Bernard Hickey.

Auckland needs to grow up
Opinion

Auckland needs to grow up

13 Jun 05:00 PM

Auckland needs to grow "up" and it needs political leadership to convince those on the isthmus to embrace that growth, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Dodgy deals to come out in wash
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Dodgy deals to come out in wash

06 Jun 05:00 PM

The elephant in the room of Auckland's property debate is whether some of the money pouring into Auckland is money laundering of ill-gotten funds, writes Bernard Hickey.

It's a Super time to be old
Opinion

It's a Super time to be old

30 May 05:00 PM

The latest episode in our non-debate about superannuation has been like watching a car crash in slow motion, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Robin Hood Budget a surprise
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Robin Hood Budget a surprise

23 May 05:00 PM

Budget 2015 is one of the most counter-intuitive of the seven that Bill English has delivered as Finance Minister, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Watch that LVR twist
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Watch that LVR twist

16 May 05:00 PM

Watching the Reserve Bank grapple with the housing market has been like watching someone blowing up a long party balloon and trying to twist it into one of those sausage dogs.

Capital Markets: Crowding in on the honeymoon
Capital markets report

Capital Markets: Crowding in on the honeymoon

13 May 04:00 PM

The business of raising capital and borrowing money through the 'crowd in the cloud' is off to a flying start.

Recipe for a hot time
Opinion

Recipe for a hot time

09 May 05:00 PM

Why should Aucklanders pay a rates hike 9 times greater than inflation because the Govt could not or would not control an unprecedented net migration surge?

Bernard Hickey: Who pays the pipes?
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Who pays the pipes?

02 May 05:00 PM

As the Govt ploughs on with its supply approach to Auckland's housing shortage, it faces tough choices about how far it can push ahead without stumping up serious money, writes Bernard Hickey.

Bernard Hickey: Land tax the fairest route
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Land tax the fairest route

25 Apr 05:00 PM

Land tax might be one of the answers to reducing tax incentives for rental property investors, writes Bernard Hickey.

It's time renters used voting power
Opinion

It's time renters used voting power

18 Apr 05:00 PM

At what point does Generation Rent start using its votes to change those politicians, Bernard Hickey asks.

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