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Home / The Country

Heavy rain to stall over top of North Island, 26-hour deluge, new flood risk for East Coast

NZ Herald
22 Sep, 2023 12:45 AM3 mins to read

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MetService National Weather: September 20th-22nd

The top of the country is next in line for a deluge with heavy rain that has brought flooding to southern regions set to stall over the north.

MetService has today issued its first clutch of weather alerts for the North Island as the rain that has plunged Southland and Queenstown Lakes into a state of civil emergency tracks up the island.

There are currently 25 weather watches and warnings in force across the country, with snow now falling in the Canterbury high country.

Weatherwatch.co.nz said the front, which has already dumped a month’s worth of rain in less than a day to parts of Otago, was now tracking north.

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The rain was poised to stall over the top of the North Island this weekend.

“The rain is trapped between two very powerful high-pressure zones and one of those highs is also feeding in tropical air this weekend to the rain,” it said.

Eastern Bay of Plenty and Tairāwhiti looked to be the most exposed to rain heavy enough to cause slips and localised flooding, the forecaster said.

Its modelling showed more than 200mm of rain was expected to fall in the eastern region between now and Tuesday.

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Northland, Taranaki across to Taihape and Wellington are the latest North Island regions to have heavy rain watches put in place.

Northland is expected to have a 26-hour deluge from 9pm on Saturday until midnight on Sunday. MetService says there will be periods of heavy rain that may see the watch increase to warning status.

💧 On Saturday, a tropical moisture plume will move into the North Island...

This will bring locally heavy rainfall to several regions, especially in the afternoon & night.

There's a chance that the plume's pace slows & persists near the eastern North Island on Sunday-Monday. pic.twitter.com/DrqpJ7uwLR

— NIWA Weather (@NiwaWeather) September 22, 2023

The North Island will have scattered downpours (🟣) on Saturday, the first day of school holidays...

We're predicting a day of widespread indoor activities 🙃 ~ apologies on behalf of Mother Nature! pic.twitter.com/Whl3SSsFqa

— NIWA Weather (@NiwaWeather) September 22, 2023

Rain is expected to start falling in Wellington and neighbouring Kāpiti Coast from 4am on Saturday and continue for six hours. Forecasters warn another spell of heavy rain is possible overnight on Saturday or during Sunday, with fresh alerts likely to be issued closer to the time.

In the centre of the island, the rain is expected to start falling in Taranaki across to Taihape at noon and last for 20 hours.

MetService said a slow-moving front over the South Island was expected to move onto the North Island tonight and continue moving slowly eastwards across the island during the weekend.

As the front moved across the north on Sunday and Monday, a low was expected to develop, with gales likely to affect the top half of the island.

There are snowfall warnings in place for South Island alpine passes, with heavy snow falling across the afternoon and evening. Up to 25cm is expected to fall on Porters Pass.

A heavy snow warning is in force across parts of Canterbury today, with MetService warning it could disrupt travel and damage trees and powerlines.


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