The Country
  • The Country home
  • Latest news
  • Audio & podcasts
  • Opinion
  • Dairy farming
  • Sheep & beef farming
  • Rural business
  • Rural technology
  • Rural life
  • Listen on iHeart radio

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • Coast & Country News
  • Opinion
  • Dairy farming
  • Sheep & beef farming
  • Horticulture
  • Animal health
  • Rural business
  • Rural technology
  • Rural life

Media

  • Podcasts
  • Video

Weather

  • Kaitaia
  • Whāngarei
  • Dargaville
  • Auckland
  • Thames
  • Tauranga
  • Hamilton
  • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Tokoroa
  • Te Kuiti
  • Taumurunui
  • Taupō
  • Gisborne
  • New Plymouth
  • Napier
  • Hastings
  • Dannevirke
  • Whanganui
  • Palmerston North
  • Levin
  • Paraparaumu
  • Masterton
  • Wellington
  • Motueka
  • Nelson
  • Blenheim
  • Westport
  • Reefton
  • Kaikōura
  • Greymouth
  • Hokitika
  • Christchurch
  • Ashburton
  • Timaru
  • Wānaka
  • Oamaru
  • Queenstown
  • Dunedin
  • Gore
  • Invercargill

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / The Country

Good summer boosts GDP

Brian Fallow
By Brian Fallow
Columnist·NZ Herald·
21 Jun, 2012 05:30 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Agricultural output jumped 2.3 per cent in the quarter to its highest level since December 2006. Photo / APN

Agricultural output jumped 2.3 per cent in the quarter to its highest level since December 2006. Photo / APN

Exceptionally good growing conditions on the land saw economic growth shoot up in the first three months of the year.

Gross domestic product rose 1.1 per cent in the March quarter, well ahead of economists' expectations of 0.5 per cent and the strongest quarterly growth for five years.

It pushed annual average growth to 1.7 per cent up from 1.3 per cent in calendar 2011.

The dollar and wholesale interest rates rose in response.

But the details of the data reveal a less verdant picture.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Much of the growth was concentrated in agriculture and its downstream processing, reflecting a bumper growing season which has come and gone.

Agricultural output jumped 2.3 per cent in the quarter to its highest level since December 2006.

The food processing sector's output jumped 3.2 per cent, driving a 1.9 per cent increase in manufacturing overall.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

But volumes are one thing, prices another. In the same quarter export prices for dairy products and meat fell 4.8 and 5.4 per cent respectively in New Zealand dollar terms, according to ANZ's commodity price index.

Other parts of the primary sector were more mixed. Forestry activity fell 1.4 per cent and while mining activity rose 3.4 per cent, reflecting increased exploration activity, it was still down on the March quarter last year.

Construction activity was flat and remains 25 per cent below its peak in December 2007. Service industries, which represent 69 per cent of economic activity, grew 0.4 per cent in the quarter, compared with an average 0.7 per cent in the previous four quarters.

While output spiked, the demand side of the ledger was much more subdued.

Discover more

Economy

Current account deficit widens to $2.8b as trade balance weakens

20 Jun 12:00 AM
Economy

Country's deficit balloons to $9.7b

20 Jun 05:30 PM
Manufacturing

GDP surges up in latest quarter

20 Jun 10:58 PM
Manufacturing

Dollar rallies after surprise GDP growth

20 Jun 11:55 PM

The expenditure measure of GDP grew 0.8 per cent in the quarter, boosted by a large buildup of inventories, but just 1 per cent on an annual average basis.

Household consumption was flat, and residential investment down 0.6 per cent.

Auguring well for potential growth, business investment rose 2.1 per cent, including a 5.2 per cent increase in spending on plant, machinery and equipment.

But net exports were a drag on growth; exports fell 1.7 per cent while imports rose 4.1 per cent.

The buildup in inventories was largely driven by stocks of dairy products.

"While dairy inventories will eventually be sold, the higher volume on offer could put downward pressure on prices and dairy incomes," said ANZ economists Sharon Zollner and Mark Smith.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

While gross domestic product provided a positive surprise, national income grew much more modestly. The difference between the two measures is that a substantial slice of what the country produces is required to provide a return to foreign suppliers of capital and credit.

In addition, changes in export and import prices can boost or erode national income.

Real gross national disposable income, which adjusts for those factors, rose just 0.1 per cent in the March quarter to be 0.7 per cent higher than a year earlier. Per capita the annual rise was just 0.1 per cent. The ANZ economists pointed to a widening of the gap, evident since the middle of the last decade, between the economy's income-generating (tradables) and spending (non-tradables) sides.

While primary production and the associated manufacturing activity rose, exports of services fell after Rugby World Cup visitors left, so tradable sector activity grew a modest 0.3 per cent in the quarter, compared with 1.4 per cent in the non-tradables sector.

"The gap ... is growing wider and is moving in the opposite direction of structural imperatives to rebalance the economy. Given the current mix of monetary conditions [a high dollar and low interest rates], the fickle global scene and the need to rebuild Canterbury, this gap is likely to widen further," they said.

The Reserve Bank had forecast GDP growth of just 0.4 per cent in the March quarter.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It has also revised down its view of how fast the supply capacity of the economy is growing.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from The Country

The Country

Vege tips: Winter, time for onions and strawberries

21 Jun 05:00 PM
The Country

The ABCs of wool in 1934

21 Jun 05:00 PM
The Country

Hill farming and Arabian horse breeding in Taumarunui

21 Jun 05:00 PM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from The Country

Vege tips: Winter, time for onions and strawberries

Vege tips: Winter, time for onions and strawberries

21 Jun 05:00 PM

OPINION: Kem Ormond is busy with onion seed trays & preparing the ground for strawberries.

The ABCs of wool in 1934

The ABCs of wool in 1934

21 Jun 05:00 PM
Hill farming and Arabian horse breeding in Taumarunui

Hill farming and Arabian horse breeding in Taumarunui

21 Jun 05:00 PM
Why NZ needs its own Clarkson's Farm

Why NZ needs its own Clarkson's Farm

21 Jun 05:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP