Any increase in production costs, including the cost of carbon, could have significant effects for some companies, as well as across the country.
Under some scenarios, electricity intensive industries could close in New Zealand and reopen in countries with more benign carbon-price regimes.
''This is a well-known risk leading to global carbon emissions increasing, as electricity in New Zealand has one of the lowest carbon footprints anywhere in the world,'' he said.
The policy response to date had been to recognise the risk and target policies for emission-intensive, trade-exposed businesses, he said.
The electricity users group supported the continuation of such targeted policies.
''There is little to be achieved by unilaterally imposing high carbon prices within New Zealand if the net result is a loss of jobs in New Zealand and a net increase in global emissions.''
The impact did not fall on only trade-exposed businesses, Mr Matthes said.
Households and other businesses would be affected by a price shock at the margin in the wholesale electricity market.
Some households would be affected twice, once with higher household power bills and secondly with decreasing working hours or loss of employment as businesses cut production because of higher spot prices, he said.