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Home / The Country

Infant formula company Bellamy's shares plunge 44pc on weaker China sales

By Dana McCauley
news.com.au·
2 Dec, 2016 11:25 PM3 mins to read

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Bellamy's was a share market darling, riding the wave of a Chinese boom in demand. But the party's over.

Bellamy's was a share market darling, riding the wave of a Chinese boom in demand. But the party's over.

Organic baby formula maker Bellamy's share price has plummeted after the company reported weaker sales in China.

As much as 43.9 per cent was wiped from the shares this morning after Bellamy's released an investor update flagging softer revenue this year.

READ MORE: • China sales warning for A2, Bellamy's

Sales on November 11's Singles Day - China's biggest online shopping event - failed to meet expectations, as have sales in China since then, the company said.

"We more than doubled revenue growth on Singles Day across all e-commerce platforms compared to last year," chief executive Laura McBain said in a statement.

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"The growth however fell short of our expectations."

Bellamy's blamed a regulatory crackdown by the Chinese government, which had triggered discounting by a rival company that were selling off stock in anticipation of losing their export licenses, temporarily eating into its sales.

Chinese authorities tightened regulations of baby formula imports in October, in a bid to increase safety standards and minimise the risk of contamination.

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Just nine importers will be accredited under the new system, which will give local brands a stronger position in the market.

The Tasmanian-based company has been a market darling, with its share price rising more than tenfold from $1.60 to a peak of more than $15 last year as it capitalised on the booming Chinese appetite for the "clean and green" product.

Worth $165 million at the end of 2014, it reached a share market capitalisation of $1.2 billion in the middle of 2016.

But, while the company seemed to be scaling heights, its chairman Robert Woolley and Ms McBain were quietly selling off hundreds of thousands of shares, fuelling scepticism in some corners.

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The growth however fell short of our expectations.

Laura McBain, Bellamy's chief executive

Some analysts questioned the assumption that Chinese demand for Australian-made baby formula would continue at the same levels, while others critiqued the company's mastery of its supply chain.

"We believe Bellamy's is a well-run company affected by a demand spill-over from China following several food scandals, which has distorted demand for infant milk formula within Australia," Lloyd Moffatt of Religare Institutional Research told Fairfax Media.

"We thus believe that the company's revenue growth rate is unlikely to sustain, going forward."

Other baby formula producers were affected by the Bellamy's announcement, with Blackmores down nearly 6 per cent this morning, while Bega Cheese and A2 Milk fell 13 per cent.

Bellamy's revenue for the first half of the 2016/17 year is expected to be about $120 million and the company said revenue in the second half of the year would be similar if current conditions continue. That forecast would fall short of the previous year's annual revenue of $244.6 million.

Bellamy's shares were down $4.49, or 37 per cent, at $7.64 at midday (AEDT) on Friday, with more than 12 million shares traded.

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- additional reporting AAP.

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