The Country
  • The Country home
  • Latest news
  • Audio & podcasts
  • Opinion
  • Dairy farming
  • Sheep & beef farming
  • Rural business
  • Rural technology
  • Rural life
  • Listen on iHeart radio

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • Coast & Country News
  • Opinion
  • Dairy farming
  • Sheep & beef farming
  • Horticulture
  • Animal health
  • Rural business
  • Rural technology
  • Rural life

Media

  • Podcasts
  • Video

Weather

  • Kaitaia
  • Whāngarei
  • Dargaville
  • Auckland
  • Thames
  • Tauranga
  • Hamilton
  • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Tokoroa
  • Te Kuiti
  • Taumurunui
  • Taupō
  • Gisborne
  • New Plymouth
  • Napier
  • Hastings
  • Dannevirke
  • Whanganui
  • Palmerston North
  • Levin
  • Paraparaumu
  • Masterton
  • Wellington
  • Motueka
  • Nelson
  • Blenheim
  • Westport
  • Reefton
  • Kaikōura
  • Greymouth
  • Hokitika
  • Christchurch
  • Ashburton
  • Timaru
  • Wānaka
  • Oamaru
  • Queenstown
  • Dunedin
  • Gore
  • Invercargill

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / The Country

China demand drives dairy prices to highest point since 2014

Jamie Gray
By Jamie Gray
Business Reporter·NZ Herald·
17 Feb, 2021 04:34 AM3 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Another strong dairy auction has supported the case for a firm farmgate milk price from Fonterra. Photo / Dannevirke News

Another strong dairy auction has supported the case for a firm farmgate milk price from Fonterra. Photo / Dannevirke News

Dairy prices continued their strong performance at the latest GlobalDairyTrade auction, the GDT index lifting 3.0 per cent to reach its highest level since May 2014.

Wholemilk power prices, which have the greatest bearing on Fonterra's farmgate milk price, rose 4.3 per cent to US$3615 a tonne.

The second biggest "reference" product for the co-op - skim milk powder - gained 0.3 per cent to US$3207 a tonne.

Anhydrous milk fat firmed by 1.1 per cent US$5527 a tonne and butter gained 2 per cent to US$5129/tonne.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Strong demand from China was the main driver of the higher prices as supply of wholemilk powder (WMP) from New Zealand and elsewhere remained relatively stable, ANZ said in a commentary.

Demand from China for WMP tends to be strong at this time of the season but typically falls away before the end of the first quarter of the year, the bank said.

"China's economic recovery is helping drive demand, as is the belief that milk is good for the immune system as consumers look for healthy food options," the bank said.

Westpac agri economist Nathan Penny expects further price strength in the short-term, before prices begin moderating later in the year.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Fonterra's latest milk price has been cast in a $6.90 to $7.50/kg range, with a $7.20 mid point.

Penny expects the co-op to settle on $7.50/kg, which most farmers would be comfortable with.

Discover more

Companies

Fonterra's new chairman: What's in store for NZ's biggest company

12 Feb 04:26 AM

Fonterra aims to improve mental health with new ingredient

10 Feb 05:00 PM

He noted that prices have now lifted for seven consecutive auctions. Over that period, prices overall have bounced 22.9 per cent higher.

Prices are also around 20 per cent higher than a year ago.

Westpac says 2021 is shaping up as a year when New Zealand agriculture "cashes in on its earlier resilience".

"Prices across a range of sectors are firm and getting firmer, with dairy leading the charge," Penny said in a report.

"Underlying the strength in export prices is the surging Chinese economy."

With Covid-19 under control, China was the only major global economy to grow over 2020.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Importantly, as the economic momentum has continued into 2021, household spending in China has gathered steam.

"Growth in Southeast Asian economies is not far behind, further underpinning demand for New Zealand products," Penny said.

The global rollout of Covid vaccines will give global food demand a second "shot in the arm", particularly from other secondary dairy markets.

Currently, global food supply is struggling to keep up with surging demand, causing high grain prices.

"That is going to constrain the global supply of dairy. We think that this dynamic also has further to run and will add to the upward price pressure over the first half of 2021."

But Penny said the "sweet spot" would prove short-lived as ultimately global food supply would respond, moderating dairy prices from late 2021 and in 2022.

Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Latest from The Country

The Country

'I ditched everything': Fisherman swept 100m out to sea strips off to survive

29 Jun 03:00 AM
Opinion

Welcome to The Huntaway Inn - Glenn Dwight

28 Jun 05:06 PM
The Country

Bob's small but mighty berry business

28 Jun 05:05 PM

Kaibosh gets a clean-energy boost in the fight against food waste

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from The Country

'I ditched everything': Fisherman swept 100m out to sea strips off to survive

'I ditched everything': Fisherman swept 100m out to sea strips off to survive

29 Jun 03:00 AM

Lifejacket convert Bas Radcliffe says he pretty much ticked every box on what not to do.

Welcome to The Huntaway Inn - Glenn Dwight

Welcome to The Huntaway Inn - Glenn Dwight

28 Jun 05:06 PM
Bob's small but mighty berry business

Bob's small but mighty berry business

28 Jun 05:05 PM
Vege tips: Eggplant or aubergine, fruit or vegetable?

Vege tips: Eggplant or aubergine, fruit or vegetable?

28 Jun 05:00 PM
Engage and explore one of the most remote places on Earth in comfort and style
sponsored

Engage and explore one of the most remote places on Earth in comfort and style

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP