Fonterra last month revised its production forecast to a 2 per cent decline compared with last season, from a previous forecast of 3.3 per cent. Analysts expect production this year to be similar to last year's.
In its global commentary, Fonterra said EU production in January was in line with the same month last year. It was the first month since June 2013 where there had been no growth in EU milk production. Ireland posted the largest decrease of 14 per cent.
Only the United Kingdom and Poland showed any growth in milk production in January.
In the United States, production in January increased 2 per cent compared with the same month last year. The increase was below market expectations and affected by reduced production in the major dairy producing states of California, New Mexico, Texas, Washington, Oregon and Idaho, Fonterra said.
China's dairy imports in February fell by 36 per cent compared with the same month last year.