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Brian Fallow
Columnist

Brian Fallow is a former economics editor of The New Zealand Herald

We are your advocate, Aotearoa. Uncovering stories that matter, asking hard-hitting questions of those in power, live-blogging sport events, monitoring the highs and lows of the NZX and providing Premium expert opinion and analysis. Bringing you distinctive, quality journalism and breaking news from across New Zealand and around the world. With specialists working together to create indepth reads, engaging video, and unmissable podcasts.

Check out Brian’s latest content
Premium
Brian Fallow: Hydrogen fuel from the deep south
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Hydrogen fuel from the deep south

30 Jun 05:50 AM
Premium
Brian Fallow: Clean, green — and a bit too pure
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Clean, green — and a bit too pure

16 Jun 05:00 PM

Reaction to farm emissions plan ignores hard realities about how NZ earns its living.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Time to turn down the methane tap
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Time to turn down the methane tap

07 Apr 05:00 PM

New Zealand faces a tricky problem in cutting back emissions from livestock.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Aiming low in climate's fight against farm emissions
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Aiming low in climate's fight against farm emissions

02 Dec 04:00 PM

Bid to cut agricultural emissions could be left behind by events.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Will we COP it in Glasgow?
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Will we COP it in Glasgow?

21 Oct 04:00 PM

Climate conference could be risky for New Zealand, if the focus is on methane.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Water reform logic flows one way
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Water reform logic flows one way

09 Sep 05:00 PM

It should be clear to councils the status quo is not an option.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Plan to reform RMA leaves many unanswered questions
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Plan to reform RMA leaves many unanswered questions

02 Sep 05:00 PM

Draft version of new law has business groups worried about obstacles to development.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Parochial politics a threat to better management of our water
The Country

Brian Fallow: Parochial politics a threat to better management of our water

01 Jul 05:00 PM

Government's planned reforms could make up for decades of under-investment.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Fewer animals - but better animals
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Fewer animals - but better animals

10 Jun 05:00 PM

Climate Change Commission sees meat and milk output standing still.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Climate change plan - emissions impossible for farmers?
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Climate change plan - emissions impossible for farmers?

15 Apr 05:00 PM

Agriculture groups say Climate Change Commission too optimistic on potential for cuts.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Cutting farm emissions - without cutting farm output
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Cutting farm emissions - without cutting farm output

04 Mar 04:00 PM

Fewer animals can produce same amount of product, says Climate Change Commission's plan.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Lake Onslow hydro storage scheme is no pipe dream
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Lake Onslow hydro storage scheme is no pipe dream

30 Jul 05:00 PM

$30m is worth paying to investigate scheme that would help decarbonise energy.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Putting a cap on emissions
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Putting a cap on emissions

11 Jun 05:00 PM

Parliament takes another step towards creating a trading scheme to fight climate change.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Trees, yes — but not too many
The Country

Brian Fallow: Trees, yes — but not too many

02 Nov 04:48 AM

Planting is needed to absorb carbon dioxide, but ETS must strike a balance.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Glimmers of hope on climate
The Country

Brian Fallow: Glimmers of hope on climate

24 Oct 04:50 AM

National and farmers' group suggest progress is possible on cutting greenhouse emissions.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Emissions plan a step in the right direction
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Emissions plan a step in the right direction

19 Jul 05:43 AM

Bid to trim agriculture's greenhouse gas output may not be perfect — but it's a start.

Premium
Brian Fallow: Living in fear of Farmageddon
The Country

Brian Fallow: Living in fear of Farmageddon

12 Jul 05:55 AM

Interest rates are only one of the risks farmers face.

Comment: Don't rush PGF in the regions
Opinion

Comment: Don't rush PGF in the regions

07 Mar 04:00 PM

Comment: PGF is a good idea for New Zealand — too good to be botched by poor execution.

Comment: Fighting climate change on the farm
The Country

Comment: Fighting climate change on the farm

06 Sep 12:00 AM

The signs are that methane from livestock will be treated differently to CO2 emissions.

Brian Fallow: Climate warms towards Govt's plan to cut carbon
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Climate warms towards Govt's plan to cut carbon

26 Jul 05:00 PM

Consensus is building behind planned Zero Carbon Act to combat climate change.

Brian Fallow: Carbon cuts we can bank on
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Carbon cuts we can bank on

14 Jun 05:00 PM

Setting goals, removing politics — Zero Carbon Bill is like the Reserve Bank Act.

Putting NZ on the path to zero carbon
The Country

Putting NZ on the path to zero carbon

08 Mar 04:00 PM

Planned law to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will have widespread economic impact.

What makes farming so special?
Opinion

What makes farming so special?

23 Nov 05:00 PM

COMMENT: In fighting emissions, should agriculture get a better deal than others?

Two tracks to lower emissions
Opinion

Two tracks to lower emissions

14 Sep 05:00 PM

COMMENT: Labour and the Greens offer different ways to put a price on carbon.

Govt's carbon policy? We're thinking about it
Opinion

Govt's carbon policy? We're thinking about it

27 Jul 06:00 PM

COMMENT: Latest announcement provides little clarity for the environment or for business.

Never mind Trump, NZ climate effort needs work
Opinion

Never mind Trump, NZ climate effort needs work

08 Jun 06:00 PM

Emissions trading scheme isn't fit for purpose.

Retired and still renting - our future?
Opinion

Retired and still renting - our future?

11 May 06:14 PM

COMMENT: One in six people aged 65-plus don't own their home, and that's likely to rise.

Cut the livestock, grow more trees
Opinion

Cut the livestock, grow more trees

23 Mar 04:00 PM

COMMENT: Report points to a big change in the way we use the land.

Brian Fallow: Reserve Bank's trade war fears
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Reserve Bank's trade war fears

01 Mar 08:00 PM

COMMENT: Donald Trump evidently has a primitive view of international commerce.

The TPP is dead - long live what?
Opinion

The TPP is dead - long live what?

26 Jan 05:21 PM

COMMENT: Is the end of the Trans-Pacific Partnership the death of open economies or just a setback, Brian Fallow writes.

Brian Fallow: Future written in red ink
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Future written in red ink

24 Nov 05:19 PM

COMMENT: Treasury's newly updated projections for the long-run outlook look OK for a few years, but then it gets ugly.

Thanks for nothing, America
Opinion

Thanks for nothing, America

09 Nov 10:20 PM

COMMENT: Taking Donald Trump at his word, his election heralds a trade war, a recession, and a setback for climate change efforts.

Brian Fallow: Living beyond our carbon budget
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Living beyond our carbon budget

27 Oct 05:15 PM

COMMENT: We've promised to cut carbon emissions, but all the options face problems.

Brian Fallow: Does a missed target matter?
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Does a missed target matter?

20 Oct 05:15 PM

COMMENT: The Reserve Bank has some explaining to do.

How much mortgage is too much?
Opinion

How much mortgage is too much?

13 Oct 05:17 PM

COMMENT: Low interest rates make even big home loans affordable - at least for now.

Brian Fallow: Climate change not just about carbon
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Climate change not just about carbon

29 Sep 05:30 PM

COMMENT: Ex-Minister suggests new way to tackle emissions.

Brian Fallow: Cash rate cut defies reality
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Cash rate cut defies reality

11 Aug 09:20 PM

COMMENT: There is little NZ can do about high dollar or inflation.

Brian Fallow: Tide going out on global trade
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Tide going out on global trade

28 Jul 10:15 PM

COMMENT: Looking beyond dairy, the picture is one of faltering growth in world trade volumes and mounting protectionism.

Dairy plunge drives commodity index down
Dairy

Dairy plunge drives commodity index down

04 Aug 05:30 PM

The retreat in export commodity prices turned into a rout last month. ANZ's commodity price index fell 11.2 per cent, its steepest monthly decline, to a six-year low.

Brian Fallow: Hard to assess risks in secret trade talks
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Hard to assess risks in secret trade talks

02 Aug 05:00 PM

Should we be dismayed or relieved at the disarray the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations are in? Sorry, but on the information to hand it is impossible to say.

Brian Fallow: Why the economy might be OK
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Why the economy might be OK

23 Jul 05:00 PM

A key industry is suffering, but other economic signs paint a happier picture, writes Brian Fallow.

Confidence slumps to a three-year low
Dairy

Confidence slumps to a three-year low

07 Jul 05:00 PM

Business confidence has fallen to a three-year low, led by regions like Waikato, Canterbury and Southland particularly exposed to the dairy sector.

Rate cut done deal, experts say
Dairy

Rate cut done deal, experts say

18 Jun 05:00 PM

A second interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank next month is now a done deal and a third is increasingly on the cards before the year is out.

Current account deficit hits $8.6b
Dairy

Current account deficit hits $8.6b

17 Jun 05:00 PM

New Zealand earned $8.6 billion less from the rest of the world through trade and investment in the year to March than the rest of the world earned from us.

GDP slowdown tipped
Dairy

GDP slowdown tipped

15 Jun 05:00 PM

Economists expect the pace of economic growth to have slowed when the March quarter national accounts are released on Thursday.

Dairy weighs on trade balance
Dairy

Dairy weighs on trade balance

26 May 05:00 PM

A slump in dairy exports weighed on the trade balance last month.

Dairy prices push index down
Dairy

Dairy prices push index down

04 May 05:00 PM

Tumbling dairy prices dragged ANZ's commodity price index 7.4 per cent lower last month and a stronger New Zealand dollar amplified the decline.

Growth tipped to ease after brisk quarter
Dairy

Growth tipped to ease after brisk quarter

15 Mar 04:00 PM

Economists expect some easing in the pace of economic growth when the December quarter national accounts are published on Thursday.

Terms of trade fall 1.9%
The Country

Terms of trade fall 1.9%

02 Mar 04:00 PM

New Zealand's export dollar does not stretch as far as it did, after the terms of trade fell 1.9 per cent in the last three months of 2014.

Trade import, export imbalance widens
Dairy

Trade import, export imbalance widens

29 Jan 04:00 PM

New Zealand's trade accounts were in the red for the sixth month in a row in December, imports exceeding exports by $159 million or 3.6 per cent.

Dairy woes buffer debt slide
Dairy

Dairy woes buffer debt slide

17 Dec 04:00 PM

Foreign claims on the economy exceed New Zealand investment abroad by $152 billion.

Rate rise date drifts further out
Dairy

Rate rise date drifts further out

11 Dec 04:00 PM

The Reserve Bank still sees interest rate increases in our future, but fewer and further away than it thought three months ago.

TPP boost for NZ could be $1b - US
The Country

TPP boost for NZ could be $1b - US

07 Dec 04:00 PM

A Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement could boost New Zealand's agricultural exports to the other partner countries by up to 13 per cent by 2025, the United States Department of Agriculture....

Low dairy prices depress index
Dairy

Low dairy prices depress index

02 Dec 04:00 PM

ANZ's commodity price index fell for the ninth month in a row in November, as milk powder prices hit five-year lows.

Terms of trade picked to fall further
Dairy

Terms of trade picked to fall further

01 Dec 04:00 PM

Falling dairy prices have begun to undermine one of the foundations of the economic upswing, rising national income from the most favourable terms of trade.

Business sentiment healthy to stellar
Dairy

Business sentiment healthy to stellar

28 Nov 04:00 PM

Business sentiment is somewhere between healthy and stellar, says ANZ chief economist Cameron Bagrie.

Brian Fallow: Gazing into dairy's future
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Gazing into dairy's future

09 Oct 04:00 PM
Dollar fall softens commodities slip
Dairy

Dollar fall softens commodities slip

02 Oct 04:00 PM

World prices for a basket of New Zealand's export commodities fell 1.3 per cent last month, with dairy products once more leading the decline.

Reserve Bank sells $521m to lower dollar
The Country

Reserve Bank sells $521m to lower dollar

29 Sep 04:30 PM

The New Zealand dollar dropped against the greenback yesterday afternoon after the Reserve Bank released data which confirmed that it had put its money where its mouth was last month, selling $521 million in a bid to push the exchange rate lower.

Commodity price index takes fourth hit
Dairy

Commodity price index takes fourth hit

02 Jul 05:00 PM

June provided further evidence that the terms of trade is headed south, albeit from the most favourable levels in 40 years.

Brian Fallow: Wheeler fires exchange rate warning shot
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Wheeler fires exchange rate warning shot

07 May 12:05 AM

Graeme Wheeler pointedly reminded us of his power to intervene if the kiwi dollar continues to climb while export commodity prices fall, writes Brian Fallow.

Commodity prices keep rising
Dairy

Commodity prices keep rising

04 Mar 04:30 PM
Trade balance back in black
Dairy

Trade balance back in black

27 Feb 04:30 PM

Surging dairy exports to China have pushed the annual trade balance into surplus for the first time in nearly two years.

Exports add to interest pressures
Dairy

Exports add to interest pressures

12 Dec 04:30 PM
Business confidence at 14-year high
The Country

Business confidence at 14-year high

28 Nov 04:30 PM

Business confidence remains high in ANZ's latest monthly survey.

Brian Fallow: Dilemma of dairy income or environment
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Dilemma of dairy income or environment

27 Nov 08:30 PM

If we want the dairy industry to lift national income we will have to pay the price in terms of increasing degradation of rivers and other water bodies, says Brian Fallow.

Lift in dairy exports to China narrows NZ trade gap
Dairy

Lift in dairy exports to China narrows NZ trade gap

24 Oct 04:30 PM
Growth tipped to be more resilient for Asia Pacific
Dairy

Growth tipped to be more resilient for Asia Pacific

27 Aug 05:30 PM

Alan Bollard picks shift to model where US consumer may not be the final driver for the Pacific Rim region.

Hong Kong hotline gets hundreds of calls
Dairy

Hong Kong hotline gets hundreds of calls

07 Aug 05:30 PM

More than 80,000 cans of suspect infant formula have been recalled in Hong Kong and a hotline set up by the city's authorities has been fielding hundreds of calls.

Dairying leads export price surge
Dairy

Dairying leads export price surge

02 Apr 04:30 PM

Led by dairy products, prices for export commodities surged last month - and this time the rise in world prices was not eaten up by a higher exchange rate.

Good head of steam for NZ economy
The Country

Good head of steam for NZ economy

20 Mar 10:40 PM
External deficit now $10.5b
The Country

External deficit now $10.5b

20 Mar 04:30 PM
Brian Fallow: From here on every drop counts
Opinion

Brian Fallow: From here on every drop counts

13 Mar 04:30 PM

The drought is a timely reminder of how much the New Zealand economy depends on rainfall, writes Brian Fallow.

$1b drought hit tipped for economy
The Country

$1b drought hit tipped for economy

04 Mar 04:30 PM

Drought is likely to shave 0.5 per cent off gross domestic product by the end of the year and take a toll on next year's output as well, says ANZ bank.

Terms of trade drop to 2010 levels
Dairy

Terms of trade drop to 2010 levels

01 Mar 04:30 PM

Exports fell in the last three months of 2012 in real terms and the impact has been compounded by a decline in what we can buy, by way of imports, for a given quantity of exports.

Commodities rise for fifth month
The Country

Commodities rise for fifth month

10 Jan 04:30 PM
Terms of trade down again but view upbeat
Dairy

Terms of trade down again but view upbeat

03 Dec 04:30 PM

The terms of trade fell for the fifth straight quarter in September, to be nearly 10 per cent off the peak in mid-2011.

High debts a risk to dairy farmers
Dairy

High debts a risk to dairy farmers

07 Nov 04:30 PM
Big dry fuels dairy price rise
The Country

Big dry fuels dairy price rise

04 Sep 05:30 PM
Economy reflected in traffic flows
Dairy

Economy reflected in traffic flows

12 Jul 05:30 PM
Good summer boosts GDP
The Country

Good summer boosts GDP

21 Jun 05:30 PM
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