"That's what we tend to see with these westerly to north-westerly flows over Hawke's Bay - they're quite hit and miss. But the strong wind watch is in place for the areas we expect to be affected, we just can't say exactly where will be most affected on the day."
Corrigan said a north-easterly front would likely bring rain to most on Monday morning, but it would clear to occasional showers before the north-westerlies blasted through.
Hastings and Napier are set to clear and warm up on Tuesday, hitting highs of 21 and 22C respectively - while up north, Wairoa will hit 20C.
Dannevirke, however, remains cooler - it's expecting just 15C on Tuesday, and a chilly 10C on Wednesday - with an overnight low of 0C.