"For Napier, it's had a 0.6C above average temperature for the month of July.
"If we look back to June the temperatures were near average."
Noll said the cold winter conditions had avoided Hawke's Bay but June had seen a significant amount of rainfall compared with other years.
"June was wetter than normal-typically the region sees about 90mm of rain, but this year it saw 113mm - so that was a bit above average.
"For July the script has flipped a bit, the average rainfall for this month is 112mm and the region has so far has only seen 21mm-so it's been a very dry-July."
Noll says the winter weather is both very changeable and variable and will continue on into the month of August.
The next two weeks would remain tranquil for Hawke's Bay as Noll predicted a number of days of westerly winds.
"If the wind blows from the west-that means that it comes from offshore and it's generally a warm wind direction which means a continuation in that warmer weather that you've seen so far."
Noll said the warmer weather fitted into the long-term trend or "global trend" of warmer winters overall, due to the changing weather patterns.
"Hawke's Bay is not alone in this - the whole globe is gradually warming up here."
Noll predicted cooler weather for the first week of August, but says it's not going to last long.
"The first few days might have a cool snap but nothing serious or major."
"August looks like it will have more of the same conditions as July - more like Mother Nature's grab-bag of weather - you don't really know what's in there.
"During this weather pattern of enso-neutral, we can get lots of ups and downs and changeable conditions because we're essentially stuck in the middle of El Niño and La Niña."