"It's pretty clear to those experienced watchers of races down the Atlantic that our passage so far has been anything but orthodox.
"The good news is that we should now be able to point the bow towards Fernando [de Noronha, off the coast of Brazil], whereas normally at this stage we would be worrying about how to get west and also avoid the wind shadows of the Cape Verde Islands.
"This is what Groupama are surely doing. They're in a difficult position at the moment. The low-pressure system to the north has completely disrupted the trade winds and the Cape Verde Islands are in their way.
"I think it's likely that Groupama will attempt to cross the ITCZ [inter-tropical convergence zone] much further to the east than the other three boats, this is a higher risk option. But as always-high risk options can pay big dividends. It could also see big losses. Only time will tell.
"As we sail south, a new Azores high pressure system [when this is in position the trade winds re-establish] is moving in behind us. This means it's likely that there will be some compression of the fleet as we move south as the boats further south will have less wind.
"PUMA and Telefonica both have a very healthy lead over us at present.
"Our sole aim is to reduce that deficit as much as possible by Fernando to give us a chance of overtaking them in the south Atlantic.
"There is still a long way to go in this leg.''