The sea's water will also be warmer. There's a marine heatwave happening around New Zealand, Niwa forecaster Nava Fedaeff said, with water up to 4C warmer than usual.
The heatwave is caused by La Nina conditions in the Pacific, bringing subtropical northeast winds and high air pressure.
It's also cyclone season and tropical cyclone Seth is just off eastern Australia, Makgabutlane said. It's a Category 1 cyclone with a low pressure system, but not expected to affect New Zealand.
The country is in a big high pressure system, with a ridge extending over the country at this latitude.
Farmers and gardeners won't forget there was a wetter than usual start to summer this year. Whanganui's average December rainfall is 68mm, Makgabutlane said, but last month 182mm was recorded at Whanganui Airport.
More than 100mm of that fell between December 12 and 16, with a further 48mm recorded at the airport on December 28.
Whanganui's average annual rainfall is 950mm and 2021's was close to that at 1012mm.
Niwa said 2021 had more than the usual amount of extreme weather around New Zealand.
There were 60 severe weather events and three of them went to the most significant red warning level.
They included high-intensity rains in Canterbury, Gisborne and the West Coast, a tornado in Auckland and record-breaking high temperatures. Christchurch got to 37C and Ashburton to 39C.