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Home / Rotorua Daily Post / Opinion

Audrey Young: Steven Joyce and Judith Collins win National campaign but not the contest

Audrey Young
By Audrey Young
Senior Political Correspondent·NZ Herald·
26 Feb, 2018 06:48 AM2 mins to read

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Steven Joyce tells Newstalk ZB's Mike Hosking he would become the fifth candidate to replace Bill English.
Audrey Young
Opinion by Audrey Young
Audrey Young, Senior Political Correspondent at the New Zealand Herald based at Parliament, specialises in writing about politics and power.
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Bill English's announcement to leave the National leadership as suddenly as he did has done the party few favours.

Most thought he would go, but most thought that would come much later in the year, if not the term.

The resignation two weeks ago caught contenders off guard – everyone except Steven Joyce.

And in many ways, this contest has been about the survival of Steven Joyce.

Joyce got notice of English's resignation at least a week ahead of the other contenders and that gave him a week the think about how he should run his bid.

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When English delivered his news to the caucus, he implored MPs to keep their choices to themselves, unlike the last time around.

READ MORE

• One last pitch: National contenders make final calls
• Dope, gay marriage, abortion... Where the National leadership candidates stand
• Bridges ahead - but still at risk in National's leadership race

• Judith Collins sets her own sacking point: 35 per cent in the polls
• Political Roundup: Amy Adams – the compromise candidate
• Mark Mitchell announces he will contest National Party leadership

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That secrecy undoubtedly helped Joyce, who was able to move under cover of darkness for a week.

If he had worked in the sunlight, with MPs declaring their preferences early, Joyce's scant support initially – himself and Nathan Guy's - would have crippled him before he had even begun.

The focus on Judith Collins, Simon Bridges and Amy Adams as the only candidates in the first week allowed Joyce to drum up a little more encouragement before publicly announcing a decision he almost certainly made some time ago.

That allowed the narrative of the past week to be about him, his role in the past, and what the party would risk in losing him.

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There was no chance Joyce would become leader. He has been campaigning for relevancy and using his finest dark arts to do so. In that respect he has run an exceptional campaign.

But the best campaign has been run by Judith Collins. Again there was not a chance she would become leader because it is her colleagues in the caucus voting, not her friends in the media.

But she is seriously being considered as deputy or finance. She has shown why she can never be ignored and ends the contest with more respect than when she started.

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