The nine-month search for the plane, which vanished en route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing, remains the longest such hunt in modern civil aviation history.
The best evidence of the plane's location comes from eight failed connections with an Inmarsat orbiter over the Indian Ocean, showing the plane probably travelled south from the Bay of Bengal before ditching somewhere along an arc to the west of the Australian city of Perth.
The aircraft probably spiralled anti-clockwise into the sea after its right and then its left engines ran out of fuel, the bureau wrote in an update on the search process.
Going into an increasingly tight spiral is the most likely behaviour, Dolan said. But even that isn't guaranteed.
The latest bathymetric scans, using sonars mounted on the search ship Fugro Equator, have widened the bureau's search area to stretch 50 nautical miles rather than 30 nautical miles from the seventh arc. They've also extended the zone to the very furthest south the aircraft could have come to rest, Dolan said.
That doesn't mean investigators expect it to have drifted so far. All the evidence says the most likely behaviour of the aircraft will mean it will be found within 10 nautical miles of the arc, he said.
The ship-based scan, which has now covered 200,000sq km, is the first part of a two-stage search process. It's designed to provide an accurate picture of the ocean bottom for side-scan sonar submersibles carrying out the second stage.