"It's going to be a very interesting weekend," says the number one world ranked eventer.
He's never won Badminton, and yet holds the record for the most completions - and he's on a mission.
While Todd is the defending champ at Badminton, having won it in 2011 aboard NZB Land Vision - 2012 was cancelled due to weather - he is not trumpeting himself as the one to beat.
"There are a lot of very established horses there this year ... it is a very strong field and could be anyone's," he says.
His horse Ravenstar (owned by Team Rutledge) will be having his first four star start and Todd is confident if everything goes well, they should be in the top 10. His other horse Major Milestone (owned by Diane Brunsden and Peter Cattell) is more than likely going to be "playing a bit of catch up" after the dressage.
"It is always good to be at Badminton and I would love to be there this year with Campino, but he's out with injury and won't be doing anything until next spring."
However, Equestrian Sports New Zealand high performance director Sarah Harris is picking a winner.
"Andrew [Nicholson] is our pick to win, but never underestimate Jonathan [Paget]," she says.
Paget will ride both Clifton Promise (owned by Frances Stead), who he finished seventh on at the 2010 World Equestrian Championships, and Clifton Lush (owned by Lucy Allison and Frances Stead).
"Lush is a lovely horse who hasn't really had the opportunity to reach his potential yet ... it could be his turn, and Jonathan is a serious talent."
Harris says a Badminton win is all part of the wider high performance plan for the Kiwis to dominate the world's four star events, the highest level in eventing.
Caroline Powell is another one who can't be discounted, particularly on Onwards and Upwards (owned by Cameron and Mary Crawford).
"He's a bit green, with just one four star under his belt, but he is a super horse for the future and Caroline will be keen to cement her place in the starting line-up at the World Championships (in 2014)."
Harris is looking forward to seeing some of the younger combinations step up.
Powell's little superstar Lenamore, who retired earlier this year, will be honoured at a parade in the main arena on the final day of competition. The combination hold their record seven consecutive completions, which saw them just once outside the prize money.
The cross country course at Badminton has been designed by Hugh Thomas. The start list includes reigning Olympic, world and European champion Michael Jung (GER).