The only poll that matters is the one on the day, but, unlike last time, Mr Foss has a candidate who is prepared to take him on head first. Whether it is enough to do what many view as the impossible is another thing. Only time will tell. Some say it is still Mr Foss' to lose.
Interestingly, the Greens' Chris Perley and Conservative Party candidate Stephen Jenkinson, who are only standing to encourage people to vote for their parties, put in spirited performances that may see them snaffle a few electorate votes.
Next week we move on to Meet the Candidate meetings for Napier and Ikaroa-Rawhiti.
They will be worth attending if Tukituki was anything to go by.