Ireland might fancy their chances of getting there if they can play with the same sort of passion, intensity and commitment they did against Australia. They were hungry at the breakdown, defended superbly and decimated a Wallably scrum that had made huge strides in recent times.
But more than that, they played intelligent football. They did a fair bit of kicking but also played a lot with the ball in hand and recycled possession to put Australia under pressure. They were more ambitious than most might have expected, at one stage running the ball out from their own goal line, but accurate.
The same couldn't be said about Australia, and Quade Cooper's ability to run a side under pressure was once again horribly exposed. He is a fabulous player when his team is going in the right direction but too often took the risky or wrong option when a sensible play was needed. This is the World Cup, after all, not Super Rugby.
"It doesn't change anything," Australia coach Robbie Deans said. "The tournament remains the same. What we got was an insight into what the World Cup is all about. At no point did we presume we would be successful.
"What the Irish brought to the table is exactly what is required to succeed in tournaments like this. That's what we have to add to our game."
It's also the challenge for Ireland. They have set the standard now and need to maintain it. Anything less in the coming weeks won't be good enough.
"We felt as though we owed ourselves that performance and we felt it was in us," Ireland captain Brian O'Driscoll said. "It was great we were able to deliver it for us and all Irish people.
"It's a good win but I'm not sitting here with the Webb Ellis [trophy] beside me.
"It's great because we have done something we haven't done before but let's not oversell it, too. It's a means to an end. We have to accept it at that and enjoy the moment but not get lost in the moment." APNZ