Bay of Plenty Times
  • Bay of Plenty Times home
  • Latest news
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Property
  • Sport
  • Video
  • Death notices
  • Classifieds

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • On The Up
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Residential property listings
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
  • Sport

Locations

  • Coromandel & Hauraki
  • Katikati
  • Tauranga
  • Mount Maunganui
  • Pāpāmoa
  • Te Puke
  • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua

Media

  • Video
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-Editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

Weather

  • Thames
  • Tauranga
  • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Bay of Plenty Times

Rob Rattenbury: Why America is set to change and the impact of former President Donald Trump

Rob Rattenbury
By Rob Rattenbury
Columnist·Rotorua Daily Post·
27 Feb, 2022 04:00 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a rally on July 3, 2021 in Sarasota, Florida. Photo / Getty Images

Former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a rally on July 3, 2021 in Sarasota, Florida. Photo / Getty Images

OPINION:

In recent years I have been fascinated with the story of many of the red or Republican states of America, that huge swathe of the country that seems to trisect the nation.

Donald Trump's election to the office of President of the United States in 2016 sparked my interest. I think it is amazing that in an amazing, powerful nation like America a man like Trump can become President.

A man so flawed in every way but who managed to capture the dreams and hearts of a majority of American citizens, many of whom came from those red states that so divide America even more today.

My fascination has extended to reading books such as Joe Bageant's Rainbow Pie and Deer Hunting with Jesus, or my latest effort, J D Vance's Hillbilly Elegy.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

These authors describe themselves as redneck or hillbilly. I will not insult such people by offering a definition myself of what that means, I am not an American. From my observations and from reading such books I can say that they tend to be white, of Scots-Irish descent, their ancestors arriving in America in the 18th century.

They tend to not have high education and have tended to be the powerhouse of American industrial might from the 19th century until the 1980s.

For several reasons, including government policy, industry started leaving their states and left these people behind with little hope, no options other than to leave town, a history founded on poor education and health outcomes, a suspicion of anyone who looks, talks, worships or thinks differently to them, fierce tribal loyalty to their way of life and to the concept of American exceptionalism and freedom of the individual.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The authors of the books I have read about these states are all children of these states who, by reason of scholarship or military service, made it out of their states and into higher education elsewhere. They left all their family and friends behind and years later, or in the case of Vance, only about 12 years later, go back to their hometowns with the benefit of high education and experience of travel not only around America but abroad.

What they find and report on is sobering reading.

Discover more

Rob Rattenbury: Not engaging with protesters will solve nothing

20 Feb 04:00 PM

Rob Rattenbury: We must acknowledge the effects of colonisation

13 Feb 08:00 PM
Royals

Rob Rattenbury: 70 years of Queen Elizabeth

06 Feb 04:00 PM
New Zealand

Rob Rattenbury: Climate change is a sleeping giant that needs our attention

30 Jan 04:00 PM

They are accepted back into their communities due to familial ties but are no longer of their communities. They talk slightly different, think differently and have many different expectations.

The Republican Party captured these states about the time of Ronald Reagan's presidency. Prior to that, the states were mostly Democrat, the party of the "working man". This all changed as these people felt let down and left behind.

The pride of work was removed from them, leaving them to scrape a living as best they can, live on welfare and mull over their lot with all the tribalism, hate and suspicion of their Scots-Irish forebears.

These people are ripe fodder for a Republican president like Trump, a very rich man who knows how to tap into the hate and prejudice of broken communities. He talks their talk.

He is combative and anti-authority. He is racist. He does not try to be cleverer than they are, a man of the people.

Of course, he is not a man of the common people. Trump was born into privilege and inherited his wealth and status in life. He has absolutely nothing in common with the good people of those middle states, the Rust Belt.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

For some reason, this is not seen by these people. They are fiercely anti-government and they see Trump as their champion. He says what they like to hear.

Sadly Trump is going nowhere and what I know about American politics makes me think he could be back in 2024. He only has to survive all nine investigations being conducted into his behaviour as President first. On past performance - not a problem.

The mid-term elections later this year will offer an insight. I am picking both the Senate and the House will go red.

The disenfranchised, impoverished white vote in those middle states will carry the day for now. Demographics say that in 2020, 40 per cent of Americans identified as "non-white". These people know this and know that "their" America will change a lot in the coming decade or so.

Some commentators say that democracy is in danger of disappearing in America. The partisan re-drawing of congressional districts by both Republican and Democrat state governments to marginalise some voters is well under way. Whilst neither party is innocent, the Republicans have taken to this with glee in 12 states.

An outfit called the Economic Intelligence Unit has little New Zealand as the fourth-strongest democracy in the world this year behind Iceland, Norway and Denmark. America, the world's oldest democracy, did not make the first 10, coming in at 25th and described as "flawed".

Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Latest from Bay of Plenty Times

Bay of Plenty Times

Police warn gangs after major drug operation

18 Jun 06:04 AM
Bay of Plenty Times

'Life-changing': International flights return to Hamilton Airport

18 Jun 05:23 AM
Bay of Plenty Times

Police deal blow to Greazy Dogs' meth production

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Bay of Plenty Times

Police warn gangs after major drug operation

Police warn gangs after major drug operation

18 Jun 06:04 AM

Police arrested 20 Greazy Dogs members over alleged meth crimes in Bay of Plenty.

'Life-changing': International flights return to Hamilton Airport

'Life-changing': International flights return to Hamilton Airport

18 Jun 05:23 AM
Police deal blow to Greazy Dogs' meth production

Police deal blow to Greazy Dogs' meth production

'I hate him': Partner of slain Tribesman lays blame for death at president's feet

'I hate him': Partner of slain Tribesman lays blame for death at president's feet

18 Jun 03:00 AM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • Bay of Plenty Times e-edition
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Subscribe to the Bay of Plenty Times
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP