NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather forecasts

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Budget 2025
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
    • Cooking the Books
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Politics

John Armstrong: Key gets edgy as the blunder-bus rolls on

NZ Herald
15 Jun, 2012 05:30 PM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Prime Minister John Key. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Prime Minister John Key. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Opinion by

Still reeling from their public caning over the now-axed rejigging of class sizes and teacher numbers, National Party ministers got a blunt talking-to from the Prime Minister at last Monday's Cabinet meeting.

John Key's message was that National - and that included him - had to tighten up. It had to drastically sharpen up its game. The wider National caucus also got the same message.

It is not before time. National's seemingly endless trials and tribulations might suggest otherwise, but the party does have a second-term strategy.

It is conscious that at the next election it will be judged on what it has achieved after six years in power. That is a much higher hurdle to clear than it faced last year.

National's strategy has accordingly been to push ahead with less than popular reforms for the first year or so of its second term and then ease back quite some time before the 2014 election.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

As polling day rolls closer, the results of the earlier graft will become evident across a range of portfolios, which will underline the Government's substance and competence. Or at least that is the theory.

The most obvious example is the target of Budget surplus by the end of the 2014-15 year. With all bets off regarding the global economy - and consequently huge uncertainty about New Zealand's growth prospects - Finance Minister Bill English has little choice but to take forecast gains in tax revenue with a grain of salt.

Reaching surplus by the target date is going to require ever tighter control of Government spending - but without being so contractionary it throws the economy into deep recession. Whatever, it is going to mean more pain in the interim. That means National sacrificing some of its political capital now in return for much bigger reward later.

What National has not bargained on is the current level of turmoil possibly draining off more political capital than it can really afford.

In the space of barely five months, the Key-led National minority Government has gone from bullet-proof to bullet-riddled.

Discover more

Opinion

John Armstrong: Right idea, says Key, but we sold it badly

11 Jun 05:30 PM
Opinion

Fran O'Sullivan: An accident just waiting to happen

12 Jun 05:30 PM
Opinion

Bryce Edwards: Political round-up: June 13

13 Jun 03:19 AM
Opinion

Claire Trevett: Waiting for that Marmite moment

13 Jun 05:30 PM

Since late January, when the political year started, National has stumbled from blunder to mini-crisis to embarrassment.

Almost without fail - two exceptions being welfare and (so far) local government reform - National has tended to end up on the losing side of the argument.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Even when the Government managed to set the political agenda - the case with its round of pre-Budget spending announcements - it all ended disastrously in the row over class sizes.

The problems have ranged from the banal - Gerry Brownlee's one-man war against Finland which required an apology from Key to Helsinki - to calamities like the resignation of Nick Smith.

There have been the near-scandals and consequent demands for inquiries, which National has refused to satisfy - another bad look.

Some of the distractions and sideshows will have already been forgotten. But some will stick long in the public's consciousness. These include the arguments over asset sales and raising the age of entitlement for national superannuation. On both, National is very much in the minority.

The miracle is that National's poll rating has proved to be so robust in the face of the torrent of misfortune, much of it self-inflicted. But the lag in shifts in support away from National may have deluded ministers into thinking they were immune from political realities and they could get away with things that other governments would not have touched.

When it comes to second term-itis, National has gone through the four stages of denial. First, it is not happening. Then, it might be happening but there is nothing that is going to affect the polls. Then, it is happening and it might be affecting the polls but we'll tough it out. Finally, it is happening and it is having a big effect on the polls and what on earth are we going to do about it?

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

National is now oscillating between the third and fourth stages.

That was evident this week in Economic Development Minister Steven Joyce initially seeing no reason why the Government could not sign a deal with SkyCity even though the "extra pokies in exchange for a national convention centre" proposal is now subject to an investigation by the Office of the Auditor-General .

Joyce spent the remainder of Wednesday afternoon slowly retreating from that stance, which became completely untenable the next morning after Key indicated the Government would be careful not to render the inquiry null and void.

That was a minor kerfuffle compared with the body count at ACC.

National needed another week of negative publicity like a hole in the head. But progress has been made.

When voters head for the polling booths in late 2014, however, they will not be dwelling on the ins-and-outs of the Bronwyn Pullar case.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

They will be judging National on its overall competence as the governing party. Whether people have regained confidence in ACC will be one of numerous factors that will go into the mix. That confidence was slowly ebbing away as the perception grew that ACC was becoming just another tight-fisted insurer consumed with the bottom line rather than claimants' concerns.

The rapid turnaround in the corporation's finances accentuated that perception - as did leaked ACC documents which talked of a post-Labour Government "culture change" that would put more focus on financial management of the scheme and less on the customer.

Now there is to be another "culture change". It is not clear whether that will mean ACC will no longer be what Labour's Andrew Little calls an "ideological plaything" for National.

ACC Minister Judith Collins, has given mixed signals on that.

But National would be wise to remember that about 35 per cent of New Zealanders make an ACC claim in any one year.

National could - but won't - thank party stalwart Michelle Boag for underlining ACC's obligations.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Pullar's case embodies all that is wrong with the corporation. But her plight would never have got into the spotlight without what might be described as Boag's unorthodox deployment of her formidable combination of public relations and political skills.

The killer blow came in last Sunday night's 60 Minutes programme.

The impact of Pullar's description of her treatment at the hands of ACC and the corporation's refusal to respond to her allegations meant it was only a question of when, not if, ACC chairman John Judge would be summoned to see Collins, the Beehive's version of Madame Guillotine. Heads simply had to roll. And they did.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Politics

Politics

$600m in Government funding to go to rail services

PoliticsUpdated

Govt to spend $600m on ‘critical’ rail upgrades

19 May 07:30 PM
Premium
Tax

'Not an unattractive idea': PM on tax support for firms with high capital expenditure

19 May 07:00 PM

The Hire A Hubby hero turning handyman stereotypes on their head

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Politics

$600m in Government funding to go to rail services

$600m in Government funding to go to rail services

Rail Minister Winston Peters and Chris Bishop detail how more than $600m in Government funding will help upgrade the country's rail services. Video / Mark Mitchell

Govt to spend $600m on ‘critical’ rail upgrades

Govt to spend $600m on ‘critical’ rail upgrades

19 May 07:30 PM
Premium
'Not an unattractive idea': PM on tax support for firms with high capital expenditure

'Not an unattractive idea': PM on tax support for firms with high capital expenditure

19 May 07:00 PM
Premium
Te Pāti Māori voices in Parliament on Budget Day in doubt after compromise talks fail

Te Pāti Māori voices in Parliament on Budget Day in doubt after compromise talks fail

19 May 05:00 PM
Gold demand soars amid global turmoil
sponsored

Gold demand soars amid global turmoil

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP