Whanganui Chronicle
  • Whanganui Chronicle home
  • Latest news
  • Sport
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Property
  • Death notices
  • Classifieds

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • On The Up
  • Sport
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Residential property listings
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology

Locations

  • Taranaki
  • National Park
  • Whakapapa
  • Ohakune
  • Raetihi
  • Taihape
  • Marton
  • Feilding
  • Palmerston North

Media

  • Video
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-Editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

Weather

  • New Plymouth
  • Whanganui
  • Palmertson North
  • Levin

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Whanganui Chronicle

Gwynne Dyer: Nukes deterrent is not mad

By Gwynne Dyer
Whanganui Chronicle·
26 Feb, 2017 04:30 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Gwynne Dyer

Gwynne Dyer

"This guy, he's like a maniac, OK? He wiped out the uncle. He wiped out this one, that one. I mean, this guy doesn't play games. And we can't play games with him. Because he really does have missiles. And he really does have nukes."

So spoke President Donald Trump in Iowa in January. North Korea flight-tested a ballistic missile a week ago that landed off Japan's west coast, so what will he do now? What can he do? And is North Korea's 33-year-old dictator, Kim Jong-un, really a maniac?

South Korea's foreign ministry certainly thinks so: "North Korea's repeated provocations show the Kim Jong-un regime's nature of irrationality, maniacally obsessed in its nuclear and missile development." The same word was used a great deal after North Korea tested nuclear weapons in January and September of last year.

But why would it be maniacal, or even irrational, for the North Korean leader to want nuclear-tipped missiles that can reach the United States? After all, the US not only has nuclear-tipped missiles that can reach North Korea; it has enough of them to eradicate the country 20 times over.

If it is not maniacal for the US to have them, why is it maniacal for the North Koreans? Because American leaders are responsible, they explain, whereas Kim Jong-un is a maniac. Begging your pardon, but isn't that argument rather circular?

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The US is the only country that ever developed nuclear weapons with the intention of using them. It was at the end of World War II, when tens of millions had already been killed, and moral restraints had largely been cast aside. But the US never used its nukes again, even when it still had a monopoly on them -- and all the other known nuclear powers got them in the name of deterrence.

The Soviet Union developed them to deter the US from launching a nuclear strike. Britain and France got them to deter the Soviet Union. China got them to deter all of the above. And Pakistan and India each developed them because they suspected the other country was working on them.

So why can't the rest of the world believe that North Korea is doing this in order to deter an American nuclear attack? North Koreans have lived 65 years with the knowledge that the US could do that whenever it wanted, and it is not maniacal to take out a little insurance against it.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The North Korean regime is brutally repressive and given to foaming at the mouth over minor slights. But since it has actually kept the peace for 64 years (while the US has fought three large wars and many small ones), it is hard to maintain that it is maniacally aggressive.

So why say it? Because if you don't characterise North Korea as insanely dangerous, then you cannot justify forbidding it to have ballistic missiles (which several dozen other countries have) and nuclear warheads (which nine countries have, and another four had briefly before giving them up).

Since none of the great powers want North Korea to have them, and they control the United Nations Security Council, they have managed to get special UN bans on both ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons for North Korea. Maintaining that the Pyongyang regime are maniacs is part of the programme, but it does frighten those who are not in on the joke.

It would be better if the ban worked, since the world has more than enough nuclear powers already. However, the ban is essentially unenforceable, and the heavens will not fall if North Korea does get a few nuclear-tipped ICBMs.

It will never have very many, and they will not be used for some lunatic "first strike" on countries that are tens of times more powerful. They will be for deterrence, only to be launched as an act of revenge from the grave. Like everybody else's.

What can President Trump do about this? He could try bribing North Korea into suspending its work on missiles and bombs. That worked once before, but not for long. There is really nothing useful to be done.

And what will he say about it? Nobody knows, probably including him.

�Gwynne Dyer is an independent journalist whose articles are published in 45 countries.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Whanganui Chronicle

Whanganui Chronicle

Techweek 2025: New Whanganui Artificial Intelligence service to launch

14 May 06:00 PM
Whanganui Chronicle

Hall in the hill: Pipe band calls on council to fix sliding bank

14 May 05:00 PM
Whanganui Chronicle

'A bit above average': Warmer weekend for Whanganui

14 May 05:00 PM

Connected workers are safer workers 

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Whanganui Chronicle

Techweek 2025: New Whanganui Artificial Intelligence service to launch

Techweek 2025: New Whanganui Artificial Intelligence service to launch

14 May 06:00 PM

The service aims to help non-profit organisations apply for grants.

Hall in the hill: Pipe band calls on council to fix sliding bank

Hall in the hill: Pipe band calls on council to fix sliding bank

14 May 05:00 PM
'A bit above average': Warmer weekend for Whanganui

'A bit above average': Warmer weekend for Whanganui

14 May 05:00 PM
Athletics: Young athletes climb ranks

Athletics: Young athletes climb ranks

14 May 05:00 PM
The Hire A Hubby hero turning handyman stereotypes on their head
sponsored

The Hire A Hubby hero turning handyman stereotypes on their head

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • Whanganui Chronicle e-edition
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Subscribe to the Whanganui Chronicle
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • NZME Events
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP