Whanganui Chronicle
  • Whanganui Chronicle home
  • Latest news
  • Sport
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Property
  • Death notices
  • Classifieds

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • On The Up
  • Sport
  • Business
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Residential property listings
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology

Locations

  • Taranaki
  • National Park
  • Whakapapa
  • Ohakune
  • Raetihi
  • Taihape
  • Marton
  • Feilding
  • Palmerston North

Media

  • Video
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-Editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

Weather

  • New Plymouth
  • Whanganui
  • Palmertson North
  • Levin

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Whanganui Chronicle

Connect the dots to see small beginnings lead to big changes

By Jay Kuten
Whanganui Chronicle·
3 Jun, 2014 06:54 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Jay Kuten PHOTO/FILE

Jay Kuten PHOTO/FILE

They claim a butterfly hovering over a flower in China can cause a hurricane in the Caribbean. I believe it. They can even figure the odds.

So says Robert Redford as card shark Jack Weill in the film Havana.

The idea belongs to chaos theory and, as articulated by MIT's mathematician Edward Lorenz, it holds that small changes in "initial conditions" can be magnified over time and space.

The New York Times of May 27, 2014, carried a small article about the death in Pakistan of an American doctor, Medhi Ali Qamar, a cardiologist based in Ohio who had just that day arrived for a second tour as a volunteer doctor at a Pakistani hospital, Tahir Heart Institute.

Dr Qamar was murdered - shot 10 times - allegedly by a Muslim extremist whose group considers the hospital to be "haram (forbidden)" in its version of Islam.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

To try to grasp the full horror of this apparently singular event, it helps to look backward in time and slightly further in space.

One of the best programmes initiated by Rotary International was a commitment undertaken in 1979 to the eradication of polio worldwide. Polio is a disease which kills and paralyses some adults and especially children.

The disease is caused by a virus which is easily transmitted and attacks the central nervous system, affecting muscles and resulting in irreversible paralysis. When respiratory muscles are attacked, there is a 10 per cent probability of death. Once infected, there is no cure - the disease is completely preventable through repeated vaccination, which provides lifetime immunity.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The Rotary campaign on polio was, in 1985, the first and largest private sector-supported international public health initiative. Since 1988, when Rotary's initial $120 million annual contribution was enhanced by partnership with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the campaign has been wildly successful.

By 1991, the Americas were free of polio virus.

The number of cases - 350,000 worldwide in 1988 - has been reduced to 406 in 2013. And the 175 countries where the virus was endemic have been reduced to just three - Nigeria, Afghanistan and Pakistan.

The importance of total eradication can't be overstated.

The World Health Organisation estimates that failure to end polio in the endemic areas could result in as many as 200,000 new cases worldwide in 10 years.

This is where politics, religion and, especially, revenge converge.

This year, 2014, 62 health workers have been killed in Pakistan alone. The motive appears to be the belief these health workers were in collusion with foreign or non-Islamic agencies to impose Western ideas on Pakistanis.

Pakistani parents, in turn, are shunning polio vaccination for their children. As a result, so far this year 66 of the 82 reported cases of polio worldwide have been in Pakistan.

In the months before the killing of Osama bin Laden on May 2, 2011, by Seal Team Six , the CIA was eagerly pursuing the few leads it had to Osama's whereabouts. While a final thread was obtained by following Bin Laden's courier, Abu Ahmed Al-Kuwaiti, the exact location of his compound was pinpointed first by a ruse.

The CIA enlisted a physician who went door-to door in Abattabad promising to deliver free immunisations for hepatitis B and for polio, while taking blood samples. His real purpose was to confirm the true hiding place of Bin Laden through DNA analysis of the samples.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

After the Bin Laden raid, the phony immunisation tactic became widely known in Pakistan and created a backlash which has thus far taken the lives of 62 Pakistani health workers and one American volunteer doctor, and has resulted in many new cases of polio in Pakistan and renewed the threat of many more cases to come.

United States President Barack Obama has ordered that the CIA no longer use such phony medical ruses to achieve its ends. That may be reassuring to American ears but is of small comfort to families of the dead health workers and the present and future sufferers of polio in Pakistan and the rest of the world.

Jay Kuten is an American-trained forensic psychiatrist who emigrated to New Zealand for the fly fishing. He spent 40 years comforting the afflicted and intends to spend the rest afflicting the comfortable.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Whanganui Chronicle

Whanganui Chronicle

Ngāti Rangi’s whānau housing push

17 Jun 03:02 AM
Whanganui Chronicle

Major North Island farming business appoints new boss

16 Jun 09:12 PM
Whanganui Chronicle

Family escapes devastating house fire as community rallies support

16 Jun 06:08 PM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Whanganui Chronicle

Ngāti Rangi’s whānau housing push

Ngāti Rangi’s whānau housing push

17 Jun 03:02 AM

'This is an iwi-led solution – an investment in ourselves and our communities.'

Major North Island farming business appoints new boss

Major North Island farming business appoints new boss

16 Jun 09:12 PM
Family escapes devastating house fire as community rallies support

Family escapes devastating house fire as community rallies support

16 Jun 06:08 PM
Whanganui East gains new GP clinic

Whanganui East gains new GP clinic

16 Jun 06:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • Whanganui Chronicle e-edition
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Subscribe to the Whanganui Chronicle
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • NZME Events
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP