NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather forecasts

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
    • The Great NZ Road Trip
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
    • Cooking the Books
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business

Liam Dann: Do we have a tech bubble?

Liam Dann
By Liam Dann
Business Editor at Large·NZ Herald·
3 Nov, 2013 04:30 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Xero chief executive and founder Rod Drury has blazed a trail for software companies. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Xero chief executive and founder Rod Drury has blazed a trail for software companies. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Liam Dann
Opinion by Liam Dann
Liam Dann, Business Editor at Large for New Zealand’s Herald, works as a writer, columnist, radio commentator and as a presenter and producer of videos and podcasts.
Learn more

Does New Zealand have a tech bubble? It's not an unreasonable question. High-flying tech stock Xero has risen in value by 436 per cent in the past 12 months and is worth nearly $4 billion on revenue of only $30 million for the first six months of this year. Listed biotech company Pacific Edge has soared 210 per cent in the past year and has market capitalisation of nearly $350 million but reported revenue of less than $1 million last year.

Last week another tech hopeful, GeoOp, listed on the NZAX. The initial public offer valued GeoOp shares at $1 each. By Friday they were already trading at $2.50.

Off market we also have a bunch of tech companies that are doing very well raising private capital for expansion right now. Our tech sector is hot.

Perhaps we need to pinch ourselves and remember that the hot bit isn't actually making money.

The top five technology stocks in the country by revenue are a pretty unsexy bunch. However, Fisher & Paykel Appliances, Datacom Group, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare, Tait Radio, and Gallagher Group pulled in combined revenue of nearly $3 billion.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

But the hot stocks are where the growth is. Last month's TIN100 report noted that the software development sector saw revenue growth of 20 per cent versus growth of just 3.7 per cent across the industry as a whole.

New Zealand software companies, thanks in a large part to the trail blazed by Xero, have certainly caught the attention of US investors and that is helping drive the boom.

Let's call it a boom. The trouble with calling it a bubble is that it implies the companies themselves are full of hot air. And that's not fair.

The bubble, if there is one, is on the market. It is driven by too many investors getting carried away, not just about the prospects of the companies but about the chance of making quick gains on soaring stock prices.

By and large, what happens on the market isn't something the companies can control.

Discover more

Energy

Meridian - What next after asset sales?

24 Oct 04:30 PM
Economy

Wall St up overnight on earnings news

24 Oct 08:10 PM
Opinion

Brian Gaynor: Xero - bubble or global giant?

25 Oct 04:30 PM
Opinion

Damien Grant: Greed a suspect in love affair with Xero

26 Oct 10:15 PM

Genesis Research and Development is an example of a good New Zealand tech company, with good people involved, that just didn't work out. It got caught up in the tech bubble of 2000 and was briefly one of the hottest stocks on the NZX. It had shares that peaked at $8.48 in 2000. Last year the company ground to a halt with shares trading at 1.8c.

Genesis was a biotech company that had some promising science around the treatment of psoriasis. It had other technologies, too, but this was the one identified as the real commercial prospect.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

When it listed, Genesis was entering the US Food and Drug Administration Phase II clinical trials for PVAC, a potential cure for the skin disease.

Unfortunately, the Phase II trial turned out to be make or break for Genesis. And the result was break. Despite a lot of effort to salvage some value from the remaining science it never recovered from the trial failure.

Xero is no Genesis Research. It has a product and customers, for starters. It is the quality of that product that has ignited the initial interest, and well done to those Kiwis who have been rewarded for backing it from the start.

But budding tech investors need to really understand what they are investing in and what the risks are. They also need to understand that the US investors driving local prices are often sophisticated investment funds with portfolios full of tech darlings from around the world. They can afford to see one or two go bust - in fact they expect that some will go bust and factor that in.

The cause for concern is that we will see New Zealand investors caught up and inadvertently perpetuating hype that they aren't really geared to cope with.

In the US right now there are conditions that aren't too dissimilar to the conditions during the tech bubble of 1999 and 2000.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The economy is emerging from a downturn and monetary policy settings are stimulatory - interest rates are low and borrowing is cheap.

But as conditions improve, investors start looking for good returns and need something to do with their money. If the bank is only offering 2 or 3 per cent interest then many will look to more aggressive growth funds, including tech-focused funds.

We're seeing high-profile players like Facebook and Twitter list on Wall St. While these businesses are more mature than some of the contenders at the turn of the millennium, they still have a way to go to justify their market value.

It is extremely cool that New Zealand's tech sector is on the radar as US investors get back into growth mode. The capital investment heading our way is good news for local companies and it is creating jobs.

But it has a side-effect of making things go a bit crazy on the market. We just need to keep it all in perspective and hold on tight for the ride, because there is every chance this boom is just getting started.

On Twitter: @liamdann

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Save

    Share this article

Latest from Business

New Zealand

Meet the woman who peels 20kg of horseradish a day

10 May 05:00 PM
Premium
Opinion

Nadine Higgins: How to safely invest in off-the-plan properties

10 May 05:00 PM
Premium
Opinion

Liam Dann: In a world of grim news, here are five economic bright spots

10 May 05:00 PM

“Not an invisible footprint”: Why technology supply chains need optimising

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Business

Meet the woman who peels 20kg of horseradish a day

Meet the woman who peels 20kg of horseradish a day

10 May 05:00 PM

Mandy Steel peels 20kg of horseradish by hand, four days a week.

Premium
Nadine Higgins: How to safely invest in off-the-plan properties

Nadine Higgins: How to safely invest in off-the-plan properties

10 May 05:00 PM
Premium
Liam Dann: In a world of grim news, here are five economic bright spots

Liam Dann: In a world of grim news, here are five economic bright spots

10 May 05:00 PM
Premium
From the heartbreak of losing her husband at just 48, a couple's enduring media legacy

From the heartbreak of losing her husband at just 48, a couple's enduring media legacy

10 May 09:23 AM
Deposit scheme reduces risk, boosts trust – General Finance
sponsored

Deposit scheme reduces risk, boosts trust – General Finance

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP