Saturday morning, he said, looked fine but the weather would change once the south east winds picked up later in the day. Mr Duncan said people should not cancel their trips or camping but should be aware of risks and dangers associated with rising rivers and streams.
"However, on Sunday, the centre of the low will change from tracking south to tracking west which is very unusual but that should bring patchy rain," Mr Duncan said.
On Sunday, there is an almost equal chance of it either swinging away from the North Island, into the north Tasman Sea, or heading towards East Cape.
"It is looking increasingly likely that Evan will pass very close to northern parts of New Zealand," he said.