NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather forecasts

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Budget 2025
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
    • Cooking the Books
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business

European Central Bank faces tough choices

AP
4 Dec, 2013 03:27 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) The European Central Bank says it stands ready to do more, if needed, to boost a weak recovery. But each possible step faces significant drawbacks or even political opposition.

Analysts don't expect the ECB's rate-setting council, which meets Thursday, to repeat last month's surprise cut to the benchmark interest rate to 0.25 percent from 0.50 percent. But they think it might take action in coming months, particularly if the recovery weakens further. The focus will be on ECB President Mario Draghi at his news conference for further clues.

The eurozone economy grew only 0.1 percent in the third quarter, and unemployment is a painful 12.1 percent. Inflation, at 0.9 percent, is close to a four-year low, far short of the bank's goal of just under 2 percent, and a token of how slow the recovery is.

Here are four things the ECB could do and what their downsides are.

CUT RATES

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The ECB could slice its refinancing rate what banks pay to borrow from the ECB from 0.25 percent to close to zero, or even zero itself. That could help lower the euro's exchange rate which would make eurozone exports cheaper and help companies sell more abroad.

But the big problem is that rates are already low and banks are not passing them on to businesses as they remain cautious about lending. That is choking off credit, a key factor holding back growth in the 17-country currency bloc.

"The transmission mechanism is still broken," said analyst Petr Zemcik at Moody's Analytics.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The ECB could also cut the interest rate it pays on deposits from private-sector banks, currently at zero, to negative. Charging banks to hold their money would penalize them for hoarding funds and push them to lend. But banks could also pass the cost on by increasing their own lending rates the opposite of what the ECB wants.

MAKE LOANS

The ECB could give banks long-term loans at low rates in hopes they use the money for loans.

The ECB did this before, giving about 1 trillion euros ($1.36 trillion) in three-year loans. Yet the money didn't do much to boost credit. Some banks used it to load up on interest-bearing government bonds. If the ECB tries this again, it could tie banks' access to the money to a promise to actually lend it onward.

BUY BONDS

If things worsen drastically, the ECB could, as a central bank, actually create new euros and then use those euros to buy bonds. That would drive down longer-term bond market interest rates. It would also increase the supply of money in the economy. The U.S. Federal Reserve and the central banks of England and Japan have all done this and their economies are growing faster.

There's a problem, however: companies in Europe mostly borrow from banks, not bond markets, as they do in the U.S. So driving down bond market rates doesn't help them as much.

In practical terms, it could be difficult to buy bonds across 17 different government debt markets.

And politically, creating new money could run into opposition from Germany, where economists and politicians say the central bank's powers shouldn't be used to paper over the eurozone's troubles and relieve governments of the need to reform their economies to get growth going.

Germany's central bank actually has only one vote on the 23-member ECB council. But the ECB is wary of antagonizing public opinion in Germany, the eurozone's biggest member.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

FIX THE BANKS

The ECB is conducting a yearlong review of eurozone banks' finances to find the weak ones and, if need be, force them to restructure or raise new capital. Yet Europe is still working on an EU-wide agency that would have the power to carry out such restructurings. So it's not clear if the ECB's efforts will lead to a thorough housecleaning.

And it will take until late next year. If the recovery weakens much further, the eurozone won't have that much time.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Business

Premium
Shares

Market close: NZX50 closes flat

20 May 05:53 AM
Premium
Opinion

Marty Verry: Green building pledge could trigger $1.5b of investment

20 May 04:00 AM
Premium
Media Insider

Lawyer Linda Clark takes leave from TVNZ board over former top cop's media injunction

20 May 03:35 AM

Deposit scheme reduces risk, boosts trust – General Finance

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Business

Premium
Market close: NZX50 closes flat

Market close: NZX50 closes flat

20 May 05:53 AM

Serko shares tumbled nearly 8% after the firm disclosed an impairment.

Premium
Marty Verry: Green building pledge could trigger $1.5b of investment

Marty Verry: Green building pledge could trigger $1.5b of investment

20 May 04:00 AM
Premium
Lawyer Linda Clark takes leave from TVNZ board over former top cop's media injunction

Lawyer Linda Clark takes leave from TVNZ board over former top cop's media injunction

20 May 03:35 AM
Andrew Barclay to leave Goldman Sachs NZ

Andrew Barclay to leave Goldman Sachs NZ

20 May 03:24 AM
Gold demand soars amid global turmoil
sponsored

Gold demand soars amid global turmoil

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP